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Conf.: State:

2022 T-Rank College Basketball Projections

Note: Projected records based on last year's schedules
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Rec Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
194 South Alabama SB 106.1
95
108.1
294
.4465 11-11 9-8 15.5% 8.5% 31.9 2.62 597
249 Robert Morris Horz 105.0
112
111.6
345
.3327 7-10 6-9 28.2% 25.5% 8.4 2.25 539
85 TCU B12 107.3
60
98.2
106
.7347 13-12 6-10 26.5% 21.8% 51.2 1.92 396
164 Iowa St. B12 102.2
172
101.5
168
.5206 6-17 4-14 40.8% 33.2% 44.3 2.41 393
254 Tennessee St. OVC 101.0
210
107.7
287
.3231 10-12 9-11 28.8% 19.6% 23.8 2.14 373
93 Washington P12 106.9
72
98.7
114
.7154 11-14 8-12 38.1% 28.4% 54.1 2.47 357
24 Arkansas SEC 108.6
43
92.5
16
.8630 18-8 10-7 38.5% 38.4% 39.1 2.48 354
130 Louisiana Lafayette SB 107.2
64
103.4
205
.6030 15-7 12-5 64.1% 56.8% 41 2.57 349
154 UNLV MWC 105.4
108
103.5
207
.5518 10-13 8-10 32.0% 28.6% 37.8 2.69 340
274 College of Charleston CAA 100.6
218
109.1
312
.2827 6-10 4-6 17.0% 18.6% 17.8 2.01 318
146 Charlotte CUSA 102.4
168
99.9
136
.5707 13-10 8-8 53.2% 52.9% 40.2 2.32 307
234 Portland St. BSky 101.3
198
106.1
258
.3701 8-9 7-7 42.9% 27.6% 0 2.66 303
14 Texas B12 110.9
20
91.9
8
.8967 17-7 11-6 37.8% 38.8% 78.7 2.3 301
88 UAB CUSA 107.7
49
98.9
119
.7270 18-7 12-6 33.8% 32.3% 33 2.65 300
244 Florida Gulf Coast ASun 102.8
157
108.7
306
.3460 8-6 5-4 68.6% 63.7% 2.9 2.62 297
317 McNeese St. Slnd 97.7
272
110.5
329
.1950 8-9 7-7 40.1% 25.7% 10.1 2.32 292
179 Stony Brook AE 101.2
201
101.7
173
.4844 12-9 10-6 55.3% 55.9% 4.1 2.83 292
243 Towson CAA 102.7
158
108.6
304
.3464 7-10 6-6 52.3% 49.1% 5.7 2.39 282
29 Kentucky SEC 111.2
17
95.5
60
.8527 13-11 9-8 30.3% 25.4% 79.4 1.55 280
222 Bowling Green MAC 102.1
175
106.3
263
.3850 9-15 8-11 51.2% 42.5% 17.1 2.16 279
236 George Washington A10 102.7
159
107.8
289
.3643 6-9 2-6 41.7% 41.0% 42.5 2.26 278
196 Siena MAAC 101.6
186
103.8
212
.4397 11-7 11-7 45.9% 33.9% 8.6 2.56 278
266 San Jose St. MWC 102.1
176
109.5
317
.3068 4-15 4-13 57.2% 45.2% 28.5 1.96 272
75 Arizona St. P12 107.2
66
96.8
82
.7628 13-11 9-9 24.6% 19.2% 57.8 1.94 272
232 New Mexico MWC 98.5
260
103.1
199
.3725 5-14 4-13 60.4% 57.4% 38.2 1.87 267
133 Minnesota B10 101.1
204
97.7
94
.5987 9-18 5-15 7.0% 4.6% 22.8 2.33 267
260 Cal Poly BW 100.4
223
107.3
282
.3177 7-14 6-10 45.8% 50.0% 2.3 1.85 266
355 Tennessee Martin OVC 91.5
350
114.4
357
.0712 3-20 3-17 2.0% 1.9% 6 2.33 264
185 Hofstra CAA 103.9
133
105.3
243
.4604 10-11 7-7 70.3% 72.8% 6.1 2.39 260
284 Portland WCC 102.4
169
112.0
349
.2619 4-13 2-9 9.1% 5.4% 14.3 2.16 257
237 Fordham A10 94.9
321
99.8
134
.3609 4-9 4-9 40.2% 36.2% 4.1 2.22 253
263 Illinois Chicago Horz 96.3
303
103.2
202
.3113 10-11 8-8 51.9% 49.5% 7.9 2.85 252
134 Grand Canyon WAC 105.7
104
102.1
180
.5978 11-7 8-4 40.2% 38.5% 33.6 2.27 252
26 Louisville ACC 111.2
19
95.0
55
.8585 13-7 8-6 53.9% 45.4% 63.3 1.93 250
102 Iona MAAC 106.5
83
99.9
138
.6754 9-4 7-2 46.2% 37.9% 25 2.27 248
201 Cal Baptist WAC 103.6
135
106.5
266
.4213 10-8 5-7 64.9% 61.4% 15.4 2.45 246
64 Mississippi St. SEC 107.0
70
95.9
66
.7791 16-11 9-9 49.5% 48.6% 60.3 1.81 245
109 Massachusetts A10 106.7
80
100.6
150
.6633 7-6 6-4 53.8% 52.4% 17 2.08 244
312 New Orleans Slnd 96.4
302
108.4
301
.2052 10-12 9-6 27.6% 22.3% 2.9 2.4 241
91 SMU Amer 107.4
57
99.0
121
.7187 9-8 6-7 33.5% 39.3% 31.2 2.56 236
197 Rider MAAC 104.5
118
106.9
273
.4345 10-11 9-9 65.9% 64.3% 4.4 2.41 235
206 South Florida Amer 96.8
291
99.8
135
.4117 5-14 3-11 25.2% 28.0% 35.4 1.87 235
255 Tennessee Tech OVC 101.5
194
108.3
299
.3214 10-17 8-12 74.3% 69.4% 17.4 2.2 233
40 Oregon P12 110.3
25
96.3
72
.8271 15-9 10-8 39.3% 27.1% 72.1 2.09 232
191 Jackson St. SWAC 96.4
299
98.0
102
.4527 10-6 9-2 38.9% 31.4% 0 2.58 231
18 Auburn SEC 110.2
28
93.0
24
.8761 18-9 12-6 59.8% 55.4% 67.4 1.36 231
283 Nicholls St. Slnd 98.0
266
107.3
280
.2622 10-12 9-7 25.3% 24.2% 0 2.57 231
135 Texas A&M SEC 101.3
197
98.3
108
.5857 8-9 3-7 32.5% 29.2% 52 1.05 227
100 Utah P12 106.1
93
99.4
128
.6788 10-13 7-12 40.3% 31.7% 44.4 2.36 227
44 Oklahoma B12 106.2
89
93.2
28
.8174 13-10 8-9 35.0% 28.3% 26.3 2.51 226
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
160 James Madison CAA 105.7
102
104.7
232
.5271 9-7 6-4 66.8% 62.5% 2.2 2.17 226
252 Jacksonville ASun 100.2
229
106.6
269
.3290 10-12 6-8 46.3% 43.9% 11.7 2.34 223
111 Northeastern CAA 102.5
164
96.8
81
.6598 10-7 7-3 81.4% 71.2% 7.1 2.2 223
251 North Carolina A&T BSth 99.1
246
105.4
245
.3299 9-10 5-3 45.1% 47.0% 21.6 2.55 223
5 Kansas B12 114.1
8
92.1
12
.9209 19-7 13-5 71.0% 72.0% 74.3 2.36 221
233 New Mexico St. WAC 100.7
217
105.4
244
.3712 5-8 4-8 24.2% 22.3% 9.3 2.12 220
126 Morehead St. OVC 105.6
105
101.5
167
.6121 15-10 14-6 56.3% 57.3% 0 2.25 220
147 Eastern Kentucky ASun 104.7
114
102.2
182
.5702 16-9 13-7 57.6% 44.0% 12.7 2.49 218
49 LSU SEC 112.0
13
98.9
118
.8069 15-9 9-8 28.7% 14.7% 76.9 1.48 218
242 St. Francis NY NEC 100.1
231
105.7
251
.3470 11-8 10-8 49.5% 45.5% 0 2.69 217
183 San Diego WCC 100.6
219
101.5
169
.4730 4-9 3-6 29.4% 29.6% 18.7 2.45 216
80 Murray St. OVC 107.0
69
97.4
90
.7469 18-5 16-4 64.8% 66.0% 19.1 2.5 216
247 Albany AE 98.7
257
104.6
230
.3392 7-7 6-6 32.5% 25.0% 15.4 2.62 216
175 Duquesne A10 98.1
265
98.3
107
.4934 7-9 6-8 33.0% 20.2% 13.4 1.99 216
343 Idaho BSky 94.8
322
112.6
353
.1222 5-18 5-15 32.0% 29.2% 0 2.34 211
117 South Carolina SEC 101.6
190
96.6
77
.6402 8-12 6-10 40.3% 40.3% 33.4 2.29 210
54 San Francisco WCC 107.6
53
95.5
61
.7972 14-9 8-5 75.8% 80.6% 2.6 2.55 210
89 Wake Forest ACC 106.9
76
98.2
105
.7255 9-11 7-11 44.5% 42.3% 31.9 2.2 210
21 Florida SEC 110.1
30
93.4
31
.8690 13-8 10-6 43.1% 44.8% 45.6 2.36 208
327 Alcorn St. SWAC 95.7
314
109.8
320
.1717 6-12 6-7 41.4% 38.3% 8.9 2.41 207
84 Cincinnati Amer 103.2
142
94.4
45
.7363 11-9 8-7 58.4% 49.6% 36.6 2.23 205
192 Kent St. MAC 100.7
216
102.5
188
.4499 10-12 9-10 41.7% 34.9% 1.7 2.18 200
104 Western Kentucky CUSA 104.4
121
98.1
104
.6717 14-10 10-4 35.7% 31.7% 47.4 2.3 198
303 Howard MEAC 100.4
226
111.9
348
.2215 1-3 0-0 72.9% 70.3% 9.3 1.96 197
55 Texas Tech B12 105.7
103
94.0
40
.7930 15-11 8-9 20.2% 14.7% 13.7 2.14 194
28 Indiana B10 109.6
35
94.0
39
.8537 15-12 10-10 64.7% 65.1% 74.2 2.15 191
140 Winthrop BSth 103.0
150
100.1
141
.5808 15-6 13-5 55.6% 49.1% 11.8 2.5 191
227 Detroit Horz 106.5
84
111.1
339
.3808 10-10 8-8 38.9% 44.2% 19 2.5 188
86 Kansas St. B12 102.7
161
94.1
41
.7305 13-13 7-11 74.0% 70.7% 57.6 1.95 187
213 Pacific WCC 98.9
251
102.3
184
.4051 4-12 3-10 23.6% 20.7% 12.1 2.33 187
220 Middle Tennessee CUSA 101.0
208
105.2
240
.3861 8-13 5-11 47.4% 44.9% 8.6 2.55 184
149 George Mason A10 102.0
179
99.6
131
.5669 10-9 7-7 37.6% 34.2% 28 2.25 184
349 North Carolina Central MEAC 91.8
346
111.4
342
.0974 3-9 3-5 18.7% 14.3% 6.3 2.32 184
31 San Diego St. MWC 107.4
58
92.3
13
.8506 17-6 13-4 61.0% 57.0% 27.7 2.6 183
180 Weber St. BSky 105.2
110
105.9
254
.4802 11-9 10-6 52.2% 48.9% 10.5 2.29 182
357 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 87.1
357
111.0
338
.0576 0-0 0-0 34.0% 35.4% -0 1.6 182
182 Hawaii BW 102.7
160
103.5
208
.4760 10-8 10-8 55.6% 52.1% 11.5 2.51 180
326 Hampton BSth 95.2
319
108.6
305
.1791 7-16 6-12 62.6% 53.4% 12.2 2.6 176
204 Coastal Carolina SB 101.2
200
104.2
221
.4165 9-8 7-7 61.3% 49.2% 5.5 2.56 174
129 Missouri SEC 101.7
183
97.9
99
.6084 8-15 5-11 19.7% 19.2% 42.4 1.59 174
63 Nevada MWC 107.3
61
96.0
68
.7816 15-8 11-6 76.4% 81.7% 27.5 2.09 174
225 Georgia SEC 99.8
237
104.1
218
.3823 6-18 3-15 7.2% 4.5% 33.7 1.8 173
169 Rice CUSA 107.7
51
107.3
281
.5098 11-11 6-10 83.7% 82.7% 10.3 2.37 173
333 Central Michigan MAC 95.6
316
111.0
336
.1532 5-15 4-12 35.0% 24.8% 3.5 2.38 173
257 Long Beach St. BW 97.9
269
104.5
228
.3204 6-10 5-7 46.5% 39.5% 7.7 1.91 173
68 Loyola Marymount WCC 109.2
39
98.4
109
.7677 13-7 7-5 81.6% 82.6% 4.2 2.3 173
324 Denver Sum 97.3
280
110.9
335
.1821 7-13 5-9 34.1% 25.6% 7.3 2.61 171
282 Texas Southern SWAC 97.5
275
106.7
270
.2627 10-11 9-5 46.2% 45.1% 5.4 2.69 171
124 St. John's BE 101.5
192
97.3
88
.6191 10-16 6-13 24.4% 24.8% 46.8 1.93 170
307 Northern Arizona BSky 98.4
261
110.2
326
.2138 6-14 5-9 68.7% 58.4% 14.1 1.97 169
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
300 UNC Wilmington CAA 100.0
234
110.8
333
.2340 5-10 2-5 39.5% 30.5% 4.5 2.18 166
295 Samford SC 96.9
287
107.1
277
.2402 5-11 3-8 44.3% 38.2% 9.6 1.65 165
97 DePaul BE 104.0
128
97.1
86
.6877 8-9 6-9 33.7% 29.5% 49.2 1.85 165
275 Western Michigan MAC 99.0
249
107.4
283
.2817 7-13 5-11 49.3% 46.6% 3.3 2.27 164
325 Southeastern Louisiana Slnd 95.8
313
109.2
313
.1806 8-16 7-9 49.2% 52.2% -0 2.28 161
90 Miami FL ACC 108.5
44
99.7
133
.7246 12-12 8-11 49.5% 50.6% 67.8 2.12 161
269 Western Illinois Sum 100.3
227
108.5
303
.2881 9-11 6-8 56.4% 51.7% 4.9 2.83 160
245 Manhattan MAAC 96.7
293
102.4
186
.3414 9-10 8-10 89.1% 88.9% 19 2.93 160
59 Syracuse ACC 109.4
37
97.5
91
.7903 14-9 8-8 34.4% 36.8% 56.8 2.26 157
11 Maryland B10 111.8
14
91.9
9
.9045 18-8 12-8 62.1% 66.0% 69.5 2.17 157
291 Southern SWAC 96.8
289
106.6
268
.2494 9-9 8-6 44.7% 34.6% 7.2 2.53 156
298 Northern Illinois MAC 95.7
315
106.0
256
.2362 6-13 4-10 64.7% 60.4% 13 2.38 155
23 Florida St. ACC 108.7
41
92.6
17
.8632 14-6 10-5 30.1% 22.4% 56 1.71 155
143 Cleveland St. Horz 107.6
52
104.9
237
.5722 14-9 13-7 70.9% 73.8% 0 2.85 154
36 Loyola Chicago MVC 106.9
74
92.7
19
.8377 17-6 13-5 79.2% 71.4% 5.1 2.75 152
264 UMBC AE 97.7
271
104.8
235
.3083 8-11 5-9 51.7% 45.3% 10.8 2.41 151
10 Memphis Amer 109.3
38
89.8
1
.9058 18-4 12-3 57.7% 56.3% 78.7 1.99 149
188 Illinois St. MVC 98.8
254
100.3
144
.4560 9-14 7-11 69.5% 59.4% 9 1.79 149
306 Incarnate Word Slnd 100.4
225
112.4
352
.2139 9-9 8-6 67.0% 53.4% 0 1.89 148
176 Longwood BSth 101.3
199
101.7
172
.4876 15-10 13-7 61.7% 58.9% 7.4 2.11 148
27 Notre Dame ACC 114.5
7
98.1
103
.8556 14-10 11-7 79.7% 81.8% 72.4 2.65 147
41 Seton Hall BE 108.2
46
94.7
50
.8220 14-11 10-9 54.5% 48.0% 67.8 2.44 147
235 Fort Wayne Horz 103.0
147
108.0
293
.3691 11-10 10-10 56.8% 56.9% 0 2.4 146
144 Georgia St. SB 105.4
106
102.8
193
.5718 10-7 8-4 61.1% 55.2% 40.8 1.98 140
316 Lamar WAC 93.9
327
106.3
262
.1951 9-16 8-9 40.2% 42.7% 0 1.91 140
99 Oregon St. P12 105.8
101
99.1
122
.6802 12-13 8-12 53.9% 53.8% 27.5 2.34 139
345 Alabama St. SWAC 91.9
345
109.6
318
.1155 7-11 7-11 46.8% 38.2% 15 2.06 138
8 Baylor B12 114.7
5
93.3
29
.9154 17-5 10-4 41.2% 35.9% 55.7 1.66 138
69 Virginia ACC 102.9
153
92.7
20
.7671 12-11 8-9 36.9% 33.6% 59.3 1.77 137
302 Grambling St. SWAC 96.4
300
107.1
276
.2298 9-12 8-7 43.5% 42.3% 4 2.46 137
320 UT Rio Grande Valley WAC 92.1
340
104.8
234
.1854 4-9 2-4 51.2% 41.4% 8 2.7 136
106 Tulsa Amer 102.6
163
96.6
78
.6661 10-11 7-10 49.9% 43.8% 40.8 2.22 136
350 Eastern Illinois OVC 90.5
353
110.1
324
.0956 5-22 4-16 23.3% 11.5% 2.6 1.42 136
226 Hartford AE 98.7
256
102.9
196
.3817 9-10 7-7 52.2% 41.3% 0 2.51 135
12 Houston Amer 110.6
22
91.2
4
.9012 19-4 13-4 46.3% 42.8% 53.2 2.07 134
153 Pepperdine WCC 102.3
170
100.4
147
.5536 8-12 4-9 48.0% 37.3% 17.7 2.38 134
240 East Tennessee St. SC 97.2
284
102.3
185
.3563 9-12 7-8 29.2% 32.8% 4.7 1.88 132
92 UC Riverside BW 106.1
94
97.8
97
.7185 15-5 11-3 68.8% 61.3% 18.2 2.31 132
162 Oral Roberts Sum 106.1
92
105.3
242
.5223 11-9 10-5 66.8% 58.9% 16.7 2 131
352 Bethune Cookman SWAC 88.8
355
109.4
315
.0834 0-0 0-0 5.2% 6.1% 4.2 1.56 129
214 Cal St. Fullerton BW 104.0
131
107.6
286
.4021 7-7 7-7 74.7% 73.0% 12.3 2.11 128
178 Valparaiso MVC 102.9
152
103.4
206
.4858 10-15 7-11 35.0% 32.0% 12.8 1.91 128
228 UNC Asheville BSth 103.0
149
107.5
284
.3792 10-9 7-7 73.5% 71.9% 8.8 2.49 128
121 Akron MAC 104.4
120
99.7
132
.6309 12-8 12-7 61.4% 51.4% 24.2 2.44 126
221 Prairie View A&M SWAC 96.4
301
100.3
145
.3856 12-6 10-3 59.6% 57.4% 8.8 2.71 126
272 UMass Lowell AE 99.8
236
108.2
296
.2841 6-13 6-9 75.3% 64.6% 6.2 2.2 125
313 FIU CUSA 93.5
333
105.2
241
.2046 5-17 3-14 47.2% 35.5% 16.1 1.99 124
202 Ball St. MAC 98.7
255
101.7
171
.4172 9-13 7-10 51.2% 37.8% 9.3 2.21 124
347 Wagner NEC 91.7
347
110.9
334
.1020 4-15 4-14 25.8% 20.9% 0 1.7 124
67 Mississippi SEC 104.0
130
93.7
36
.7691 15-10 9-9 54.3% 49.0% 52.8 2.17 123
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
278 Eastern Washington BSky 98.3
263
106.8
272
.2777 7-12 7-8 19.9% 14.9% 0 1.83 121
246 Louisiana Monroe SB 98.6
259
104.4
226
.3398 12-13 8-10 63.8% 65.4% 0 2.78 121
157 Bryant NEC 106.1
90
104.7
233
.5379 13-7 12-4 77.4% 73.7% 8.4 2.63 121
150 Sam Houston St. WAC 103.4
138
101.2
163
.5620 15-8 13-3 64.6% 50.9% 17.3 2.45 121
137 Boston College ACC 103.2
143
100.2
143
.5831 6-13 4-9 35.0% 29.9% 37.8 2.02 119
78 Vanderbilt SEC 107.7
50
97.7
95
.7545 11-11 7-9 51.5% 55.3% 30.6 1.87 117
209 Milwaukee Horz 100.9
213
104.1
220
.4092 10-9 9-8 36.6% 36.0% 30.4 1.59 117
105 Santa Clara WCC 105.3
109
99.2
124
.6666 9-7 4-5 66.1% 65.7% 19.3 2.41 117
62 Marquette BE 107.0
71
95.6
63
.7839 13-13 9-10 34.2% 33.4% 58 1.35 116
341 Eastern Michigan MAC 91.7
348
108.1
295
.1305 3-12 3-11 23.1% 21.2% 0 1.88 116
219 UMKC Sum 99.0
248
103.0
197
.3887 9-10 8-6 51.0% 33.3% 4.6 1.92 115
43 Washington St. P12 106.8
78
93.6
35
.8202 18-9 11-9 65.7% 61.0% 22.8 1.94 115
289 Binghamton AE 99.3
243
109.0
310
.2553 7-10 5-9 78.6% 72.9% 0.9 2.17 115
103 Dayton A10 103.0
151
96.7
80
.6722 12-9 9-7 46.4% 34.0% 54.6 1.25 114
120 Old Dominion CUSA 104.2
124
99.4
127
.6345 12-9 9-7 43.4% 39.7% 30.1 1.99 113
163 Pittsburgh ACC 99.4
241
98.6
113
.5215 7-14 4-12 40.5% 30.4% 37.8 1.76 113
9 Alabama SEC 112.6
11
91.8
7
.9124 20-7 13-5 56.5% 56.6% 73 1.45 112
108 Tulane Amer 103.2
141
97.3
87
.6642 12-10 7-10 70.7% 67.0% 31.5 1.7 112
20 Xavier BE 112.4
12
94.8
52
.8757 15-5 9-4 81.1% 82.7% 51.7 2.29 112
256 Radford BSth 99.2
245
105.8
253
.3210 10-13 9-9 62.1% 58.1% 12.8 2.21 111
331 Youngstown St. Horz 96.2
306
111.2
341
.1587 6-15 6-14 41.9% 31.7% 9.4 1.3 110
113 Fresno St. MWC 106.0
96
100.4
146
.6513 10-10 10-10 89.9% 89.9% 30.3 2.21 110
136 UNC Greensboro SC 101.6
188
98.6
112
.5850 17-9 12-6 53.0% 47.1% 25.4 2.53 110
73 Penn St. B10 106.8
77
96.4
73
.7657 10-14 8-12 45.4% 46.5% 19.8 2.62 110
82 Missouri St. MVC 107.2
67
97.8
98
.7399 14-6 12-6 87.1% 91.4% 8.4 2.44 109
262 Austin Peay OVC 99.9
235
107.0
275
.3114 12-12 9-11 52.9% 43.9% 9.6 2.26 108
186 East Carolina Amer 99.1
247
100.5
149
.4591 7-10 3-9 46.8% 45.1% 10.7 2.16 108
37 Arizona P12 108.9
40
94.5
47
.8362 17-9 11-9 52.1% 45.7% 69.3 1.21 107
271 Troy SB 96.0
309
104.0
216
.2849 8-15 5-11 60.6% 54.0% 0.4 2.28 107
47 Providence BE 107.5
54
94.9
53
.8073 13-12 10-9 66.2% 61.8% 52.8 2.54 107
48 Clemson ACC 105.2
111
92.9
22
.8069 12-10 8-8 51.2% 49.1% 51.9 2.21 106
115 Florida Atlantic CUSA 104.1
126
98.8
117
.6458 11-6 8-4 67.9% 61.9% 12.5 1.98 106
66 Utah St. MWC 104.2
125
93.9
38
.7692 16-8 12-7 44.6% 39.9% 31.2 2.01 105
321 Coppin St. MEAC 94.0
326
107.0
274
.1837 6-15 5-7 37.1% 26.3% 0 1.8 105
211 UT Arlington SB 98.0
267
101.3
165
.4059 11-11 9-8 51.5% 33.0% 0 2.3 104
152 Indiana St. MVC 101.0
209
99.1
123
.5537 10-12 8-10 40.1% 41.5% 12.2 1.64 104
294 USC Upstate BSth 97.6
273
107.8
290
.2418 7-14 6-10 61.7% 44.9% 13.2 2.35 102
215 NJIT AE 100.0
233
103.8
214
.3940 9-9 9-7 57.6% 50.8% 0 2.53 100
76 Saint Louis A10 106.2
87
96.1
69
.7608 13-5 6-4 63.2% 58.7% 32.5 2.41 99
330 St. Thomas Sum 96.2
307
110.5
328
.1690 0-0 0-0 70.0% 70.0% 9.4 1.12 98
190 Oakland Horz 104.4
119
106.2
260
.4532 12-15 11-9 61.4% 60.7% 13.5 2.05 98
32 West Virginia B12 111.2
18
95.6
62
.8501 16-10 10-7 48.8% 42.4% 29 2.2 97
156 Delaware CAA 102.5
165
100.7
151
.5513 9-4 7-2 96.4% 96.9% 10.5 2.28 96
280 Monmouth MAAC 97.3
282
106.0
257
.2716 7-12 6-12 36.1% 29.4% -0 2.1 95
293 Charleston Southern BSth 96.6
296
106.4
265
.2481 7-13 6-11 59.2% 54.9% -0 2.02 95
170 Jacksonville St. ASun 101.1
205
100.8
154
.5075 13-10 11-8 58.9% 54.0% 8.2 2.38 94
3 Ohio St. B10 116.4
2
93.5
33
.9254 19-7 14-6 78.9% 81.6% 67.5 2.58 94
203 Morgan St. MEAC 104.5
117
107.6
285
.4168 8-6 7-3 66.1% 63.5% 10.4 2.8 93
195 Mount St. Mary's NEC 99.8
238
101.8
175
.4423 13-9 12-6 79.3% 71.0% 0.4 2.25 92
138 Seattle WAC 104.0
129
101.0
159
.5823 10-7 6-3 85.6% 85.6% 1.6 2.21 92
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
30 Virginia Tech ACC 110.3
26
94.8
51
.8512 15-7 9-6 74.1% 76.3% 17.2 2.21 92
22 Illinois B10 109.8
32
93.3
30
.8667 15-11 11-9 50.2% 40.9% 59.1 2.02 92
184 Utah Valley WAC 101.5
193
102.7
192
.4669 10-9 8-5 69.8% 64.1% 19.1 2.6 92
329 Central Arkansas ASun 96.7
294
111.0
337
.1693 7-16 6-10 53.6% 42.0% 7.3 2.2 91
171 Elon CAA 103.2
140
103.1
200
.5020 7-7 5-6 77.0% 74.4% 6.4 2.08 90
353 Western Carolina SC 90.0
354
111.2
340
.0808 3-21 2-15 25.6% 16.8% 6.9 2.11 89
114 Toledo MAC 106.0
97
100.5
148
.6476 18-9 13-6 59.2% 54.6% 2.4 2.06 88
193 Arkansas St. SB 102.8
156
104.7
231
.4495 10-9 8-7 77.4% 70.2% 7.8 2.02 88
301 UC San Diego BW 99.7
239
110.7
332
.2310 3-11 3-9 46.8% 45.8% 10.7 1.96 86
187 Drexel CAA 104.1
127
105.6
249
.4577 9-7 5-4 59.0% 55.9% 7.5 2.42 84
45 Colorado St. MWC 110.3
24
97.0
84
.8147 14-7 12-6 93.4% 95.1% 20.8 2.1 84
65 VCU A10 103.1
146
92.8
21
.7709 15-8 9-5 49.4% 45.3% 39 1.95 83
267 Kennesaw St. ASun 96.8
290
104.1
219
.3031 9-11 7-8 94.1% 94.1% 19.1 1.96 82
292 Florida A&M SWAC 93.8
329
103.3
204
.2491 8-11 7-5 52.1% 52.8% 7 1.89 82
314 Niagara MAAC 97.2
283
109.8
321
.1975 5-13 5-11 38.2% 40.7% 3.8 2.33 81
46 Wichita St. Amer 107.3
63
94.6
48
.8089 10-7 7-6 64.2% 66.1% 25 2.19 81
96 Georgetown BE 103.9
134
96.9
83
.6885 9-12 6-10 35.0% 29.8% 36 1.45 81
308 SIU Edwardsville OVC 96.6
297
108.2
297
.2131 8-16 7-12 71.1% 61.0% 2 2.3 80
335 Nebraska Omaha Sum 92.8
337
107.9
292
.1495 5-19 4-10 62.6% 52.3% 8.4 2.41 80
218 Lipscomb ASun 102.1
174
106.1
259
.3915 11-11 8-7 64.3% 59.6% 2.5 1.95 79
42 Richmond A10 110.1
29
96.5
74
.8212 13-6 8-3 86.1% 81.7% 18.4 2.72 78
77 North Carolina St. ACC 105.9
99
95.7
64
.7602 13-10 9-9 61.1% 57.5% 80.5 1.81 78
322 Green Bay Horz 97.0
286
110.4
327
.1832 7-17 6-14 42.5% 31.6% 1.4 1.29 78
110 UC Santa Barbara BW 107.1
68
101.0
158
.6626 13-8 12-6 50.1% 52.8% 47.6 2.34 77
87 Rhode Island A10 104.8
113
96.2
71
.7282 14-10 10-7 79.6% 75.1% 37.9 2.53 77
57 Nebraska B10 105.9
98
94.3
44
.7910 13-13 8-12 65.9% 63.6% 56 2.06 76
198 Northern Colorado BSky 101.2
202
103.6
209
.4336 10-8 9-6 88.4% 90.4% 7 2.69 75
127 Southern Miss CUSA 102.3
171
98.4
110
.6095 13-9 10-7 78.7% 77.8% 0 2.49 75
241 High Point BSth 100.4
222
105.9
255
.3517 10-12 8-9 75.2% 74.5% 5.6 2.1 73
148 North Texas CUSA 98.8
252
96.5
75
.5676 10-11 7-7 40.4% 35.9% 18.8 2.03 73
297 Maine AE 93.1
335
103.0
198
.2366 2-7 2-6 70.6% 68.1% 0 1.78 73
248 Norfolk St. MEAC 98.2
264
104.2
222
.3339 10-9 7-5 49.5% 40.1% 1.6 2.45 72
319 Stephen F. Austin WAC 91.6
349
104.0
217
.1869 8-10 7-8 35.3% 28.3% 12.8 1.75 72
346 Mississippi Valley St. SWAC 93.9
328
113.2
356
.1042 6-19 6-11 68.2% 62.5% 0 2.13 71
296 Montana St. BSky 97.5
277
107.9
291
.2375 7-11 6-8 44.7% 38.2% 13.6 1.74 71
98 Louisiana Tech CUSA 101.9
180
95.3
59
.6842 17-8 10-6 64.9% 66.3% 8.3 1.9 70
1 Gonzaga WCC 121.4
1
91.1
3
.9644 22-2 14-1 46.0% 44.8% 89.4 1.39 70
50 Oklahoma St. B12 105.8
100
93.5
32
.8067 13-12 9-9 80.5% 74.0% 62.8 1.94 69
142 Northern Kentucky Horz 104.7
116
102.0
178
.5735 15-8 13-5 87.6% 92.3% 3.9 2.48 68
19 Michigan St. B10 109.6
34
92.5
15
.8757 16-10 11-9 47.7% 42.8% 77.7 1.7 66
15 Tennessee SEC 110.4
23
91.5
5
.8964 18-6 12-5 56.3% 51.8% 80.4 1.48 66
205 La Salle A10 100.5
221
103.6
210
.4131 7-16 5-12 69.5% 69.6% 23.6 1.82 65
299 LIU Brooklyn NEC 93.6
332
103.7
211
.2346 8-10 8-10 47.4% 43.5% 3.1 2.04 65
141 South Dakota Sum 107.2
65
104.3
223
.5791 14-8 11-4 81.6% 68.2% 0 2.27 65
258 Dixie St. WAC 97.9
268
104.5
229
.3204 8-11 6-8 76.7% 69.1% 3.7 2.17 62
6 Duke ACC 114.7
6
93.2
27
.9160 16-6 13-5 40.1% 39.7% 92.3 0.96 61
25 North Carolina ACC 109.9
31
93.7
37
.8623 16-9 9-7 65.2% 63.1% 87.8 1.57 60
231 UTSA CUSA 101.0
212
105.6
248
.3736 7-13 6-10 58.5% 41.2% 22.2 2.02 59
309 Cal St. Bakersfield BW 96.2
308
107.7
288
.2129 6-17 5-13 27.4% 25.1% 16.4 2.35 57
334 IUPUI Horz 93.6
331
108.7
307
.1517 4-13 4-12 51.5% 37.9% 1.8 2.38 57
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
35 Ohio MAC 111.7
15
96.7
79
.8398 17-4 13-3 94.8% 94.6% 6 2.38 56
81 Buffalo MAC 106.9
75
97.4
89
.7440 15-5 13-4 63.4% 65.7% 32.5 2.57 55
2 UCLA P12 115.8
3
92.6
18
.9288 19-6 15-4 79.5% 74.9% 80.7 2.04 55
34 BYU WCC 109.7
33
94.9
54
.8403 15-8 8-5 62.6% 58.7% 39.5 2.33 53
72 Butler BE 106.2
88
95.8
65
.7659 11-12 9-11 91.9% 91.2% 44.8 2.28 53
151 California P12 101.5
195
99.3
125
.5618 9-17 5-15 53.7% 45.2% 39.7 1.95 52
74 Georgia Tech ACC 104.7
115
94.4
46
.7653 12-11 7-10 65.1% 59.4% 68.2 2.01 52
224 Texas St. SB 95.9
311
100.0
139
.3829 12-10 8-7 49.9% 49.5% 0 1.92 52
33 USC P12 108.2
47
93.1
25
.8493 17-10 12-8 53.4% 50.7% 65.1 2.06 51
290 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 101.9
182
111.8
347
.2550 9-15 8-10 45.4% 40.4% 0 1.3 51
53 Creighton BE 107.4
59
95.3
58
.7979 14-11 10-10 18.2% 16.3% 71.9 0.87 50
223 Quinnipiac MAAC 96.9
288
100.9
156
.3846 12-10 9-9 70.3% 73.4% 6.7 1.91 50
159 Saint Peter's MAAC 97.1
285
95.9
67
.5330 14-8 12-5 71.4% 69.1% 0 1.89 50
250 Saint Joseph's A10 98.8
253
105.0
238
.3319 4-14 3-9 73.0% 65.6% 31.2 2.13 50
122 Davidson A10 106.7
82
101.9
177
.6276 9-9 5-6 63.5% 60.3% 40.1 2.08 47
207 Marist MAAC 96.3
305
99.3
126
.4110 11-9 9-9 76.2% 71.2% 2.8 2.3 47
125 Southern Illinois MVC 102.8
155
98.8
115
.6143 12-11 9-9 89.7% 88.0% 0 1.89 46
52 Colorado P12 106.4
86
94.3
43
.8015 15-12 10-10 43.4% 39.2% 55.4 1.61 46
4 Michigan B10 112.6
10
90.6
2
.9240 18-7 13-7 39.9% 41.9% 74.2 1.53 46
216 New Hampshire AE 101.2
203
105.1
239
.3930 10-7 9-6 80.5% 81.2% 0 2.13 45
131 Montana BSky 103.1
145
99.5
129
.6015 14-8 13-5 89.6% 85.6% 0 1.82 45
200 UC Davis BW 100.1
232
102.6
189
.4300 8-7 7-5 76.0% 76.4% 0 2.11 44
268 Idaho St. BSky 96.6
295
104.4
225
.2916 8-10 6-8 77.2% 65.8% 0 2.31 44
270 Boston University Pat 98.6
258
106.8
271
.2855 8-8 8-8 61.9% 54.0% 9.8 2.4 44
174 Bradley MVC 101.6
187
101.8
174
.4958 10-15 7-11 53.2% 44.6% 4.7 1.94 44
212 Chattanooga SC 99.2
244
102.6
190
.4054 11-12 8-8 59.6% 48.0% 3.2 2.22 41
336 Houston Baptist Slnd 95.8
312
112.3
351
.1383 6-16 6-9 63.0% 60.7% 0 1.82 41
60 UCF Amer 106.1
91
94.7
49
.7878 11-10 10-8 83.0% 83.2% 51.4 2.08 41
107 Wright St. Horz 102.5
166
96.5
76
.6650 17-6 15-5 73.2% 67.1% 8.1 1.82 40
356 Texas A&M Corpus Chris Slnd 87.9
356
110.0
323
.0703 4-17 3-12 26.4% 20.5% 4.2 1.67 39
161 Mercer SC 102.1
173
101.3
164
.5247 13-9 11-6 68.4% 62.3% 19 2.32 39
17 St. Bonaventure A10 110.3
27
92.9
23
.8776 14-3 12-3 86.5% 86.4% 4.8 2.59 38
145 Wofford SC 103.5
136
101.0
157
.5711 13-8 11-6 68.3% 60.2% 4.2 1.63 38
323 Little Rock SB 92.6
338
105.5
247
.1830 6-18 4-14 56.5% 51.1% 0 2.12 38
166 UTEP CUSA 99.4
242
98.8
116
.5168 8-12 8-8 75.6% 71.6% 32 2.36 38
61 Iowa B10 109.5
36
97.7
96
.7868 14-13 8-12 53.3% 46.7% 48.9 1.81 37
259 Southeast Missouri St. OVC 99.0
250
105.7
250
.3196 12-14 10-10 78.3% 75.1% 8.2 2.48 36
58 Drake MVC 110.6
21
98.5
111
.7909 18-7 12-6 88.5% 83.5% 4.7 2.74 34
288 William & Mary CAA 94.7
324
103.9
215
.2569 4-11 3-7 83.9% 79.2% 0 2.02 34
132 Vermont AE 103.1
144
99.6
130
.5995 11-3 11-3 75.0% 71.2% 5.8 2.83 34
119 Furman SC 102.8
154
98.0
101
.6355 14-7 10-5 72.3% 64.9% 0 2.4 32
189 North Dakota St. Sum 99.5
240
101.1
160
.4537 12-12 10-6 79.2% 73.8% 1.6 2.07 32
339 North Dakota Sum 93.5
334
110.0
322
.1339 4-21 4-12 41.8% 38.1% 0 1.9 31
210 Penn Ivy 96.7
292
99.9
137
.4073 0-0 0-0 35.3% 33.8% 12 1.32 31
337 Central Connecticut NEC 95.0
320
111.5
344
.1367 6-15 5-13 46.6% 43.1% 0 2.57 31
168 Tarleton St. WAC 101.1
206
100.7
152
.5098 8-7 7-5 78.7% 68.5% 0 2.21 31
208 Gardner Webb BSth 101.6
185
104.9
236
.4101 13-12 11-9 60.5% 54.9% 7.3 1.53 30
273 North Florida ASun 100.4
224
108.9
309
.2827 7-13 5-7 81.4% 84.1% 0 1.75 30
351 South Carolina St. MEAC 91.9
342
112.1
350
.0927 3-15 2-6 46.8% 41.0% 0 1.74 30
354 Chicago St. WAC 91.9
343
114.7
358
.0725 1-8 0-0 56.8% 47.6% 0 2.11 30
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
94 Rutgers B10 102.0
178
94.2
42
.7146 10-14 6-14 49.4% 41.7% 56.6 1.69 29
118 Southern Utah BSky 107.3
62
102.1
181
.6374 12-5 11-3 92.5% 93.1% 11.1 2.86 27
128 Miami OH MAC 106.4
85
102.4
187
.6089 14-8 11-7 87.4% 90.0% 0.9 2.51 27
281 Presbyterian BSth 97.5
276
106.3
264
.2691 8-12 7-10 97.4% 96.7% -0 1.86 26
305 Brown Ivy 91.9
344
102.6
191
.2184 0-0 0-0 38.1% 23.9% 7.8 1.39 26
39 Northwestern B10 106.9
73
93.1
26
.8304 13-10 10-10 73.8% 78.3% 52.3 2 26
95 UC Irvine BW 102.7
162
95.1
56
.7075 15-7 12-4 79.3% 80.3% 3.3 1.64 25
304 Sacramento St. BSky 97.7
270
109.0
311
.2215 5-12 5-9 47.4% 29.4% 2.3 2.47 24
56 Wisconsin B10 103.4
139
92.1
11
.7911 14-13 9-11 42.1% 35.9% 69.5 1.26 23
328 Holy Cross Pat 95.9
310
110.1
325
.1695 5-11 5-11 59.0% 56.5% 0 1.45 23
253 Sacred Heart NEC 101.7
184
108.4
300
.3246 9-8 9-7 83.3% 85.8% -0 1.7 21
279 American Pat 95.3
318
103.8
213
.2730 3-6 3-6 69.2% 61.2% 0 1.78 21
112 Wyoming MWC 107.7
48
102.0
179
.6517 14-10 9-8 75.4% 66.3% 9.4 1.96 20
358 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 84.5
358
112.7
354
.0351 2-23 2-14 44.2% 37.3% 0 2.33 13
310 Army Pat 93.0
336
104.3
224
.2113 6-12 5-9 49.7% 51.5% 0 1.61 11
338 North Alabama ASun 92.6
339
108.8
308
.1356 4-13 4-11 44.5% 38.6% 0 1.72 9
340 Dartmouth Ivy 91.1
352
107.2
279
.1331 0-0 0-0 29.8% 23.2% 4.6 1.46 0
348 Columbia Ivy 91.3
351
110.6
330
.0990 0-0 0-0 26.4% 18.6% 10 1.06 0
332 Delaware St. MEAC 97.3
279
112.8
355
.1553 4-11 3-7 64.6% 53.1% 10.6 1.92 0
344 Northwestern St. Slnd 93.6
330
111.7
346
.1160 7-19 6-10 35.8% 38.0% -0 1.7 0
342 Cornell Ivy 94.5
325
111.4
343
.1302 0-0 0-0 38.4% 27.9% 0 1.37 0
238 Stetson ASun 101.0
207
106.2
261
.3606 9-11 8-8 80.9% 79.2% 0 1.41 0
181 Princeton Ivy 101.5
191
102.3
183
.4793 0-0 0-0 61.4% 56.8% 18 1.52 0
177 Harvard Ivy 100.3
228
100.8
153
.4861 0-0 0-0 30.7% 36.4% 63.3 0.7 0
173 Merrimack NEC 97.5
274
97.6
93
.4977 13-5 13-5 83.3% 88.8% 0 2.09 0
13 Villanova BE 115.0
4
95.2
57
.8981 15-6 11-4 75.1% 72.2% 83.5 2.03 0
16 Connecticut BE 111.6
16
93.6
34
.8833 14-6 11-6 78.6% 74.1% 53.7 2.27 0
79 Liberty ASun 107.5
56
97.6
92
.7517 16-5 11-2 72.2% 69.8% 6.7 1.94 0
199 VMI SC 103.0
148
105.5
246
.4327 10-10 8-6 72.7% 63.3% 0 1.87 0
83 Northern Iowa MVC 108.4
45
99.0
120
.7399 13-9 12-6 99.0% 98.7% 14 2.21 0
172 Marshall CUSA 101.9
181
101.9
176
.5009 11-10 7-7 56.5% 57.1% 6.8 1.71 0
167 Appalachian St. SB 101.6
189
101.1
161
.5133 11-9 9-6 92.0% 91.9% 9.3 2.36 0
139 Navy Pat 104.4
123
101.4
166
.5818 11-6 10-3 82.0% 79.2% 0 2.31 0
116 Temple Amer 102.0
177
97.0
85
.6405 7-9 6-9 64.9% 70.5% 32.9 1.76 0
123 South Dakota St. Sum 107.5
55
102.9
195
.6233 13-7 9-3 88.3% 79.1% 3.9 2.32 0
155 Loyola MD Pat 103.5
137
101.6
170
.5517 10-4 10-4 74.3% 75.2% 22.9 2.19 0
158 Yale Ivy 102.4
167
101.2
162
.5337 0-0 0-0 52.7% 50.4% 7.3 2.18 0
165 Campbell BSth 103.9
132
103.2
201
.5203 14-8 11-6 93.0% 94.7% 0 2.35 0
101 Colgate Pat 106.8
79
100.2
142
.6766 10-2 10-2 70.5% 62.5% 0 2.27 0
217 Abilene Christian WAC 96.3
304
100.0
140
.3917 13-8 11-4 39.1% 31.2% -0 1.9 0
229 Fairfield MAAC 98.4
262
102.8
194
.3773 11-12 9-9 73.5% 66.9% 1.8 2.16 0
286 Lafayette Pat 100.1
230
109.7
319
.2589 5-9 5-9 59.7% 53.9% 5.4 2.13 0
285 Bucknell Pat 97.3
281
106.5
267
.2607 4-6 4-6 62.1% 53.6% 3.6 2.01 0
277 Evansville MVC 100.9
214
109.5
316
.2800 7-17 4-14 48.5% 56.1% 0 2.14 0
287 Cal St. Northridge BW 101.0
211
110.6
331
.2587 6-14 4-10 67.6% 67.3% 11.1 2.27 0
38 Saint Mary's WCC 105.4
107
91.6
6
.8340 14-7 6-4 100.0% 100.0% 30.9 2.43 0
315 St. Francis PA NEC 94.8
323
107.1
278
.1970 8-14 7-11 77.7% 69.5% 0 1.76 0
311 Alabama A&M SWAC 92.0
341
103.2
203
.2096 7-8 6-7 92.1% 92.8% -0 1.74 0
276 The Citadel SC 100.8
215
109.3
314
.2809 7-12 6-10 66.9% 59.7% 2.3 1.87 0
265 Lehigh Pat 97.3
278
104.5
227
.3077 7-7 7-7 84.0% 78.5% 0 1.93 0
7 Purdue B10 113.2
9
92.0
10
.9158 19-8 13-7 91.3% 93.5% 61.3 1.84 0
71 Boise St. MWC 106.7
81
96.2
70
.7665 15-9 13-7 72.9% 67.2% 43.5 2.65 0
230 Georgia Southern SB 96.5
298
100.9
155
.3747 9-12 7-9 71.8% 62.0% 15.1 2.34 0
70 Belmont OVC 108.6
42
97.9
100
.7666 21-5 16-4 96.6% 97.5% 5 2.44 0
239 Canisius MAAC 100.6
220
105.8
252
.3584 5-7 5-7 79.9% 74.4% 2.3 2.3 0
51 Stanford P12 104.4
122
92.4
14
.8027 14-12 10-10 70.6% 60.2% 75.8 1.63 0
261 Bellarmine ASun 101.4
196
108.4
302
.3155 8-9 6-7 56.2% 53.5% 0 2.27 0
318 Air Force MWC 95.4
317
108.2
298
.1889 4-20 3-17 52.0% 50.6% 0 1.94 0

Compiled by Bart Torvik from sacred data and secret formulas.