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2022 T-Rank College Basketball Projections

Note: Projected records based on last year's schedules
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Rec Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
240 Fort Wayne Horz 102.4
164
108.0
294
.3514 10-11 9-11 56.8% 56.9% -0 2.33 146
239 Air Force MWC 100.4
224
105.9
255
.3516 7-17 5-15 52.0% 50.6% 0 0.86 0
238 George Washington A10 102.6
161
108.1
295
.3555 6-9 2-6 41.7% 41.0% 42.5 2.26 278
237 UNC Asheville BSth 102.8
153
107.8
291
.3655 10-9 7-7 73.5% 71.9% 8.8 2.49 128
241 Stetson ASun 100.9
209
106.4
267
.3513 9-11 8-8 80.9% 79.2% 0 1.36 0
242 Canisius MAAC 100.5
221
106.1
259
.3497 5-7 5-7 79.9% 74.4% 1.4 2.22 33
246 Manhattan MAAC 96.7
293
102.5
189
.3370 9-10 8-10 89.1% 88.9% 19 2.93 160
245 High Point BSth 100.3
226
106.2
262
.3421 10-12 8-9 75.2% 74.5% 5.6 2.1 73
244 Illinois Chicago Horz 96.3
299
101.7
173
.3480 11-10 8-8 51.9% 49.5% 7.3 2.9 282
243 Loyola MD Pat 99.0
253
104.5
228
.3483 7-7 7-7 59.5% 50.3% 20.9 1.91 70
236 Georgia Southern SB 96.3
300
100.9
156
.3682 9-12 7-9 71.8% 62.0% 12.5 2.41 63
235 Hartford AE 98.4
263
103.1
198
.3707 9-10 7-7 52.3% 41.5% 0 2.49 135
229 UMKC Sum 98.8
256
103.1
200
.3795 9-10 8-6 51.0% 33.3% 4.5 1.91 144
228 Lipscomb ASun 102.0
177
106.5
268
.3799 10-12 8-7 64.3% 59.6% 2.5 1.95 79
227 NJIT AE 99.9
236
104.2
220
.3815 9-9 8-8 57.6% 50.8% 0 2.53 131
226 Detroit Horz 106.4
86
110.9
337
.3834 10-10 9-7 38.5% 43.7% 20 2.54 271
230 Quinnipiac MAAC 96.8
288
101.1
159
.3783 12-10 9-9 70.3% 73.4% 6.6 1.87 83
231 New Hampshire AE 100.9
208
105.4
246
.3777 9-8 8-7 77.9% 79.1% -0 2.07 45
234 Fairfield MAAC 98.3
265
102.9
194
.3734 11-12 9-9 73.1% 66.7% 1.8 2.09 0
233 Bowling Green MAC 102.0
178
106.6
270
.3752 9-15 7-12 51.2% 42.5% 17.1 2.16 279
232 New Mexico MWC 99.0
252
103.5
207
.3752 5-14 4-13 49.0% 46.9% 37.4 1.7 342
247 Louisiana Monroe SB 98.6
259
104.6
230
.3368 12-13 8-10 63.8% 65.4% 0 2.78 182
248 Fordham A10 95.6
314
101.5
168
.3338 4-9 4-9 32.6% 30.8% 2.2 2.13 359
263 Dixie St. WAC 97.9
269
105.2
242
.3057 7-12 5-9 70.7% 66.2% 3.1 2.13 93
262 Western Illinois Sum 100.1
232
107.4
283
.3089 9-11 6-8 56.4% 51.7% 4.9 2.87 202
261 San Jose St. MWC 102.2
175
109.6
318
.3092 4-15 4-13 57.2% 45.2% 28.3 1.86 353
260 Radford BSth 99.0
254
106.1
260
.3099 10-13 9-9 62.1% 58.1% 12.8 2.21 140
264 UMBC AE 97.6
276
105.0
237
.3027 7-12 5-9 51.7% 45.3% 10.2 2.36 181
265 Cal Poly BW 100.2
230
107.7
290
.3025 7-14 5-11 45.8% 50.0% 2.3 1.85 266
268 Troy SB 96.6
295
104.3
223
.2921 8-15 5-11 60.6% 54.0% 0.1 1.96 124
267 Lehigh Pat 97.1
281
104.7
231
.2969 7-7 7-7 84.0% 78.5% 0 1.93 0
266 Long Beach St. BW 97.7
274
105.1
241
.3018 5-11 5-7 46.5% 39.5% 12 1.86 109
259 Tennessee Tech OVC 101.4
193
108.6
303
.3120 10-17 8-12 74.3% 69.4% 16.1 2.17 238
258 St. Francis NY NEC 99.7
239
106.7
273
.3125 10-9 10-8 41.5% 37.0% 0 2.61 246
252 Bellarmine ASun 101.4
192
108.2
298
.3203 7-10 6-7 56.2% 53.5% 0 1.99 0
251 East Tennessee St. SC 96.7
294
103.0
197
.3251 8-13 6-9 29.2% 32.8% 6.2 1.64 65
250 Robert Morris Horz 105.0
112
111.7
347
.3292 7-10 6-9 28.2% 25.5% 7.8 2.23 547
249 Towson CAA 102.3
173
108.6
304
.3332 7-10 6-6 52.3% 49.1% 5.7 2.39 282
253 North Carolina A&T BSth 99.1
251
106.0
257
.3170 9-10 5-3 45.1% 47.0% 21.6 2.55 223
254 Southeast Missouri St. OVC 98.8
257
105.6
251
.3167 12-14 10-10 78.3% 75.1% 8.2 2.39 36
257 Sacred Heart NEC 101.3
196
108.4
301
.3137 9-8 9-7 83.3% 85.8% 0 1.68 21
256 Texas Southern SWAC 98.5
260
105.4
245
.3162 11-10 10-4 46.2% 45.1% 12.3 2.77 223
255 Tennessee St. OVC 101.0
207
108.0
293
.3166 10-12 9-11 28.8% 19.6% 22.8 2.16 403
225 Georgia SEC 99.8
238
104.0
216
.3845 6-18 3-15 7.2% 4.5% 24.5 1.61 191
224 Middle Tennessee CUSA 101.4
191
105.6
250
.3858 8-13 5-11 47.4% 44.9% 5.2 2.37 219
195 Cal St. Fullerton BW 105.1
111
107.5
284
.4377 8-6 8-6 76.8% 73.7% 10.3 2.19 154
194 North Dakota St. Sum 99.2
249
101.3
163
.4400 11-13 9-7 79.2% 73.8% 1.5 2.06 65
193 Drexel CAA 104.1
129
106.3
264
.4415 9-7 5-4 59.0% 55.9% 7.5 2.43 118
192 Arkansas St. SB 102.7
157
104.8
234
.4425 10-9 8-7 77.4% 70.2% 7.8 2.02 88
196 UT Arlington SB 98.5
261
100.7
150
.4375 11-11 10-7 51.5% 33.0% 0 2.1 138
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
197 Harvard Ivy 98.1
267
100.4
144
.4348 0-0 0-0 30.7% 36.4% 49.5 1.01 0
201 Montana St. BSky 102.2
174
104.7
233
.4297 10-8 8-6 86.3% 88.6% 10.8 2.44 102
200 Siena MAAC 101.5
187
103.9
215
.4327 11-7 11-7 45.9% 33.9% 8.6 2.56 278
199 Oakland Horz 103.8
137
106.2
263
.4332 11-16 10-10 61.4% 60.7% 13.3 1.88 98
198 Mount St. Mary's NEC 99.7
240
102.0
178
.4339 13-9 12-6 79.3% 70.9% 0.4 2.25 92
191 Jackson St. SWAC 96.4
297
98.4
109
.4431 10-6 9-2 37.2% 30.0% -0 2.55 231
190 Kent St. MAC 100.5
216
102.4
187
.4470 10-12 9-10 41.7% 34.9% 1.7 2.15 200
184 Chattanooga SC 99.9
237
101.2
162
.4614 13-10 9-7 59.6% 48.0% 9.3 2.18 78
183 Princeton Ivy 99.7
241
101.0
157
.4620 0-0 0-0 61.4% 56.8% 14 1.26 0
182 Stony Brook AE 101.1
201
102.0
179
.4724 11-10 10-6 55.3% 55.9% 4 2.7 322
181 Portland St. BSky 102.7
156
103.7
211
.4729 9-8 8-6 55.6% 41.2% -0 2.66 330
185 San Diego WCC 100.3
228
101.8
174
.4578 4-9 3-6 29.4% 29.6% 18.6 2.44 216
186 VMI SC 103.5
143
105.0
238
.4572 11-9 8-6 72.7% 63.3% -0 1.61 0
189 Hofstra CAA 103.8
136
105.7
253
.4475 10-11 7-7 70.3% 72.8% 6.1 2.39 260
188 Utah Valley WAC 101.0
202
102.9
195
.4476 9-10 7-6 69.8% 64.1% 19 2.49 122
187 Florida Gulf Coast ASun 103.9
132
105.8
254
.4480 9-5 6-3 68.6% 63.7% 14.5 2.75 402
202 Rider MAAC 104.3
124
107.2
280
.4231 10-11 9-9 65.9% 64.3% 4.4 2.41 258
203 UC Davis BW 100.0
233
102.7
192
.4229 8-7 7-5 76.0% 76.4% 0 2.11 44
218 Gardner Webb BSth 101.8
184
105.5
247
.3994 13-12 11-9 60.5% 54.9% 6.6 1.35 0
217 Pacific WCC 98.6
258
102.1
180
.4018 4-12 3-10 23.6% 20.7% 12.7 2.05 189
216 Marist MAAC 96.0
306
99.3
126
.4019 11-9 9-9 76.2% 71.2% 2.7 2.28 47
215 Coastal Carolina SB 101.0
206
104.4
226
.4040 9-8 7-7 61.3% 49.2% 5.5 2.51 205
219 Abilene Christian WAC 94.3
324
97.7
94
.3986 13-8 11-4 38.6% 31.0% 0 1.71 88
220 Ball St. MAC 98.5
262
102.1
181
.3973 9-13 7-10 51.2% 37.8% 9.3 2.21 124
223 Texas St. SB 95.9
307
99.7
131
.3898 12-10 8-7 49.9% 49.5% 0 1.71 82
222 Milwaukee Horz 100.4
223
104.2
221
.3943 10-9 9-8 36.6% 36.0% 29.8 1.54 117
221 UTSA CUSA 101.8
182
105.7
252
.3944 7-13 6-10 58.5% 41.2% 20.7 1.86 131
214 South Florida Amer 96.7
291
100.0
137
.4060 5-14 3-11 25.2% 28.0% 31.1 1.78 235
213 La Salle A10 100.4
225
103.6
208
.4103 7-16 5-12 69.5% 69.6% 23.5 1.79 65
207 Mercer SC 100.2
229
103.2
202
.4154 11-11 9-8 54.1% 51.8% 19.7 2.01 72
206 Morgan St. MEAC 104.7
120
107.9
292
.4158 8-6 7-3 66.1% 63.5% 17.4 2.85 163
205 Albany AE 100.6
215
103.5
206
.4191 8-6 7-5 45.4% 40.7% 15.2 2.7 216
204 South Alabama SB 103.8
138
106.6
271
.4223 10-12 8-9 15.5% 8.5% 28.1 2.58 566
208 Saint Joseph's A10 101.0
204
104.1
218
.4150 5-13 3-9 86.4% 83.0% 25.7 2.04 50
209 Hawaii BW 101.3
194
104.4
225
.4147 9-9 9-9 45.0% 41.9% 11.7 2.53 213
212 Cal Baptist WAC 103.5
141
106.8
274
.4104 9-9 5-7 64.9% 61.4% 15.4 2.45 246
211 Northern Colorado BSky 100.6
214
103.8
214
.4113 9-9 9-6 83.5% 86.2% 7.6 2.55 107
210 Illinois St. MVC 97.8
271
100.9
154
.4132 8-15 6-12 55.6% 42.3% 9.1 1.67 186
269 Evansville MVC 100.8
211
108.8
310
.2915 7-17 4-14 44.5% 54.1% -0 1.77 34
270 Austin Peay OVC 99.5
245
107.6
287
.2883 11-13 9-11 52.9% 43.9% 7.3 2.19 108
330 St. Thomas Sum 96.1
303
110.8
335
.1633 0-0 0-0 70.0% 70.0% 7.9 2.23 321
329 Southeastern Louisiana Slnd 95.7
309
110.3
329
.1635 8-16 7-9 49.2% 52.2% 0 2.33 195
328 Central Michigan MAC 96.2
302
110.6
333
.1668 5-15 4-12 35.0% 24.8% 6.4 2.43 197
327 Lamar WAC 93.0
338
106.9
276
.1674 8-17 7-10 40.2% 42.7% 0 1.67 109
331 Holy Cross Pat 95.7
312
110.4
330
.1619 5-11 5-11 59.0% 56.5% 0 1.37 23
332 Youngstown St. Horz 96.2
301
111.3
343
.1581 6-15 6-14 41.9% 31.7% 9.2 1.4 134
336 North Dakota Sum 93.6
332
108.7
307
.1513 5-20 4-12 41.8% 38.1% 0 1.82 92
335 Western Carolina SC 94.7
321
109.8
322
.1540 5-19 4-13 25.6% 16.8% 6 1.75 230
334 North Alabama ASun 92.9
339
107.7
289
.1550 5-12 4-11 44.5% 38.6% 0 1.65 30
333 Central Arkansas ASun 96.1
305
111.3
344
.1551 7-16 6-10 53.6% 42.0% 7.3 2.2 91
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
326 Hampton BSth 95.0
317
109.0
312
.1722 7-16 6-12 62.6% 53.4% 12.2 2.63 204
325 UT Rio Grande Valley WAC 91.2
350
104.5
227
.1732 4-9 2-4 51.2% 41.4% 7.7 2.55 161
319 Stephen F. Austin WAC 91.8
345
104.1
219
.1910 8-10 7-8 35.3% 28.3% 10.7 1.71 95
318 St. Francis PA NEC 94.7
320
107.3
282
.1910 8-14 7-11 77.7% 69.5% 0 1.76 0
317 Green Bay Horz 97.2
280
110.2
328
.1918 7-17 6-14 42.2% 31.1% 1.1 1.2 134
316 Dartmouth Ivy 91.1
351
103.2
201
.1920 0-0 0-0 29.9% 23.3% 4 1.14 60
320 Niagara MAAC 97.0
285
110.1
326
.1894 5-13 5-11 38.2% 40.7% 3.6 2.16 81
321 McNeese St. Slnd 97.6
275
110.8
336
.1886 8-9 7-7 40.1% 25.7% 10.1 2.32 292
324 Eastern Michigan MAC 93.5
334
106.9
275
.1765 4-11 4-10 23.1% 21.2% 6.9 1.56 154
323 Denver Sum 97.0
284
110.7
334
.1798 7-13 5-9 34.1% 25.6% 6.1 2.4 203
322 Little Rock SB 92.2
341
105.1
240
.1812 6-18 5-13 56.5% 51.1% -0 1.85 61
337 Delaware St. MEAC 97.1
282
112.9
354
.1498 4-11 3-7 64.6% 53.1% 10.6 1.92 0
338 IUPUI Horz 93.2
336
108.7
305
.1464 4-13 4-12 51.5% 37.9% 1.8 2.37 57
353 Texas A&M Corpus Chris Slnd 89.9
356
109.4
316
.0944 5-16 4-11 26.4% 20.5% 3.7 1.7 191
352 Wagner NEC 91.3
348
110.9
338
.0963 4-15 4-14 25.8% 20.9% 0 1.65 124
351 Mississippi Valley St. SWAC 93.8
331
113.4
356
.1015 6-19 6-11 68.2% 62.5% 0 2.07 92
350 Eastern Illinois OVC 91.1
353
110.0
325
.1026 6-21 4-16 23.3% 11.5% 2 1.26 199
354 South Carolina St. MEAC 91.8
346
112.0
348
.0923 3-15 2-6 46.8% 41.0% 0 1.46 90
355 Chicago St. WAC 91.9
344
114.5
357
.0735 1-8 0-0 55.9% 44.8% -0 2.09 90
358 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 85.6
358
113.0
355
.0393 2-23 2-14 15.0% 9.4% 5.9 1.68 184
357 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 86.6
357
111.4
345
.0524 0-0 0-0 34.0% 35.4% 0 1.17 97
356 Tennessee Martin OVC 91.1
352
114.5
358
.0668 3-20 3-17 0.0% 0.0% 6 1.98 264
349 Alabama St. SWAC 91.9
343
109.8
323
.1145 6-12 6-12 46.8% 38.2% 15.3 1.8 111
348 Bethune Cookman SWAC 91.2
349
108.9
311
.1156 0-0 0-0 9.2% 7.0% 3.6 1.95 239
342 Cornell Ivy 93.1
337
109.7
320
.1314 0-0 0-0 38.5% 27.9% -0 0.87 31
341 Alcorn St. SWAC 93.9
327
110.1
327
.1384 6-12 6-7 26.3% 25.9% 8.9 2.35 285
340 Nebraska Omaha Sum 92.6
340
108.4
300
.1415 5-19 4-10 62.6% 52.3% 8.4 2.37 112
339 North Carolina Central MEAC 94.0
326
109.7
321
.1446 4-8 4-4 18.7% 14.3% 5.2 2.42 360
343 Houston Baptist Slnd 95.4
316
112.5
352
.1302 6-16 5-10 63.0% 60.7% 0 1.84 69
344 Northwestern St. Slnd 93.5
335
110.5
331
.1271 7-19 6-10 35.8% 38.0% -0 1.39 85
347 Columbia Ivy 90.7
355
108.2
297
.1168 0-0 0-0 26.7% 18.8% 5.8 0.85 30
346 Idaho BSky 94.5
323
112.7
353
.1169 4-19 4-16 31.2% 28.6% 0 2.21 200
345 Central Connecticut NEC 93.8
330
111.2
342
.1242 5-16 5-13 46.6% 43.1% 0 2.26 31
315 Bucknell Pat 95.0
318
107.5
286
.1938 4-6 4-6 53.1% 47.1% 3.9 1.68 0
314 New Orleans Slnd 96.1
304
108.7
306
.1951 9-13 8-7 27.6% 22.3% 2.9 2.4 241
285 Nicholls St. Slnd 97.8
273
107.1
279
.2592 11-11 9-7 25.3% 24.2% 0 2.43 257
284 Presbyterian BSth 97.4
278
106.7
272
.2602 9-11 7-10 97.4% 96.7% -0 1.86 26
283 Southern SWAC 97.0
283
106.2
261
.2622 9-9 9-5 41.7% 33.7% 7.2 2.4 166
282 Monmouth MAAC 97.0
287
106.0
258
.2639 7-12 6-12 36.1% 29.4% 0 1.92 95
286 Maine AE 94.1
325
103.1
199
.2581 2-7 2-6 70.6% 68.1% 0 1.59 105
287 LIU Brooklyn NEC 93.9
328
103.0
196
.2569 9-9 9-9 47.4% 43.5% 3.1 1.82 54
291 North Florida ASun 99.1
250
109.1
313
.2498 6-14 4-8 81.4% 84.1% -0 1.75 60
290 Binghamton AE 99.2
248
109.2
314
.2504 7-10 5-9 78.6% 72.9% 0.9 2.16 146
289 Portland WCC 102.3
172
112.4
351
.2529 4-13 2-9 1.2% 0.8% 12 1.85 358
288 William & Mary CAA 94.7
319
104.0
217
.2531 4-11 3-7 83.9% 79.2% 0 2.02 34
281 Boston University Pat 98.3
264
107.3
281
.2695 8-8 8-8 61.9% 54.0% 9.8 2.4 44
280 American Pat 95.7
310
104.3
224
.2699 3-6 3-6 69.2% 61.2% -0 2 60
274 Eastern Washington BSky 97.9
268
106.4
266
.2784 7-12 7-8 19.9% 14.9% 0 1.88 173
273 Norfolk St. MEAC 95.6
315
103.8
213
.2786 9-10 6-6 49.5% 40.1% 1.6 1.97 100
272 Idaho St. BSky 96.5
296
104.6
229
.2849 7-11 6-8 77.2% 65.8% 0 2.31 44
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
271 Kennesaw St. ASun 97.4
277
105.5
249
.2852 9-11 7-8 94.1% 94.1% 22.4 2.02 121
275 Western Michigan MAC 98.9
255
107.6
288
.2747 6-14 5-11 49.3% 46.6% 3.3 2.27 164
276 UMass Lowell AE 99.6
243
108.5
302
.2731 6-13 5-10 75.3% 64.6% 5.6 2.27 158
279 The Citadel SC 100.5
218
109.6
319
.2700 7-12 6-10 66.9% 59.7% 2.3 1.8 0
278 Jacksonville ASun 99.2
247
108.1
296
.2720 9-13 6-8 28.3% 24.3% 11.7 2.35 302
277 College of Charleston CAA 100.5
217
109.5
317
.2730 6-10 4-6 17.0% 18.6% 15.3 2.03 396
292 Lafayette Pat 99.7
242
109.9
324
.2451 6-8 6-8 59.7% 53.9% 5.2 1.94 0
293 Cal St. Northridge BW 100.7
212
111.1
341
.2442 6-14 4-10 67.6% 67.3% 11.1 2.27 0
308 Grambling St. SWAC 95.6
313
107.0
278
.2152 9-12 8-7 33.2% 32.1% 4.8 2.3 184
307 SIU Edwardsville OVC 96.8
290
108.2
299
.2163 8-16 7-12 71.1% 61.0% 1.9 2.28 80
306 Cal St. Bakersfield BW 95.7
311
107.0
277
.2170 7-16 6-12 27.4% 25.1% 15.1 1.81 118
305 Sacramento St. BSky 97.8
272
109.3
315
.2171 5-12 4-10 46.4% 28.9% 2.3 2.52 55
309 FIU CUSA 93.8
329
105.0
239
.2144 5-17 3-14 47.2% 35.5% 14.3 1.81 188
310 Incarnate Word Slnd 100.3
227
112.4
350
.2133 9-9 8-6 67.0% 53.4% 0 1.89 148
313 Northern Arizona BSky 98.2
266
110.6
332
.2029 5-15 4-10 66.7% 56.8% 14.1 1.97 169
312 Samford SC 96.8
289
108.8
309
.2067 4-12 3-8 44.3% 38.2% 8.7 1.61 175
311 Alabama A&M SWAC 92.0
342
103.3
204
.2076 7-8 6-7 92.1% 92.8% -0 1.74 0
304 UC San Diego BW 99.5
244
111.1
340
.2195 3-11 3-9 46.8% 45.8% 10.6 1.86 86
303 Army Pat 91.7
347
102.3
184
.2210 6-12 5-9 49.7% 51.5% 0 1.36 40
297 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 100.8
210
111.6
346
.2366 9-15 8-10 45.4% 40.4% 0 1.12 51
296 Howard MEAC 101.3
195
112.1
349
.2379 2-2 0-0 62.4% 62.3% 7.7 2.19 302
295 Charleston Southern BSth 96.3
298
106.5
269
.2389 7-13 6-11 59.2% 54.9% 0 1.99 95
294 Florida A&M SWAC 93.6
333
103.4
205
.2411 8-11 7-5 52.1% 52.8% 7 1.84 82
298 Brown Ivy 90.7
354
100.5
147
.2354 0-0 0-0 38.1% 23.9% 0.6 1.14 61
299 Northern Illinois MAC 95.9
308
106.3
265
.2332 6-13 4-10 64.7% 60.4% 13 2.32 180
302 Coppin St. MEAC 94.5
322
105.3
244
.2236 7-14 5-7 33.4% 24.7% 0 1.62 227
301 USC Upstate BSth 97.9
270
108.8
308
.2298 7-14 6-10 61.7% 44.9% 13.1 2.26 135
300 UNC Wilmington CAA 100.0
234
111.0
339
.2302 5-10 2-5 39.5% 30.5% 4.4 2.1 166
180 Longwood BSth 101.0
205
102.0
177
.4732 15-10 13-7 61.0% 58.3% 7.4 2.11 148
179 Elon CAA 102.8
150
103.6
209
.4781 7-7 5-6 72.0% 67.3% 7.7 2.03 90
61 Wisconsin B10 103.1
144
92.3
13
.7818 14-13 8-12 42.1% 35.9% 69.5 1.26 23
60 UAB CUSA 108.5
42
97.1
85
.7827 20-5 13-5 61.3% 62.5% 26.7 2.96 340
59 Ohio MAC 108.9
39
97.4
89
.7839 16-5 13-3 80.9% 77.3% 6.7 2.22 56
58 Drake MVC 110.5
22
98.8
117
.7843 18-7 12-6 88.5% 83.5% 4.7 2.74 34
62 Nebraska B10 106.0
91
94.9
51
.7815 13-13 8-12 52.6% 47.8% 38.9 2.14 162
63 Rutgers B10 104.9
117
93.9
38
.7811 11-13 8-12 62.7% 55.4% 47.9 2.23 52
67 Mississippi St. SEC 106.9
68
96.0
67
.7754 16-11 9-9 49.5% 48.6% 60.3 1.81 245
66 Iowa B10 109.3
34
98.1
102
.7754 13-14 8-12 53.3% 46.7% 48.9 1.81 37
65 Nevada MWC 107.2
65
96.1
68
.7785 15-8 11-6 76.4% 81.7% 27.5 2.09 174
64 Syracuse ACC 109.2
35
97.8
95
.7802 14-9 8-8 34.4% 36.8% 56.8 2.26 157
57 Creighton BE 107.1
67
95.5
60
.7883 13-12 10-10 18.2% 16.3% 71.9 0.87 0
56 Arizona St. P12 108.5
45
96.6
76
.7914 14-10 10-8 36.1% 26.0% 65.1 1.87 326
50 Providence BE 107.4
57
95.0
53
.8045 13-12 9-10 66.2% 61.8% 52.8 2.54 107
49 Utah St. MWC 105.4
103
93.0
25
.8078 17-7 13-6 44.6% 39.9% 25.3 2.15 153
48 Virginia Tech ACC 107.8
52
95.1
54
.8092 14-8 8-7 60.4% 64.4% 24.1 2.13 92
47 Oklahoma B12 105.9
95
93.3
30
.8102 12-11 8-9 35.5% 28.5% 23.6 2.5 262
51 Stanford P12 104.3
126
92.6
17
.7979 14-12 10-10 70.6% 60.2% 75.8 1.63 0
52 Clemson ACC 104.9
115
93.2
28
.7957 12-10 8-8 51.2% 49.1% 51.9 2.21 106
55 San Francisco WCC 107.5
55
95.7
62
.7932 14-9 8-5 74.8% 79.2% 2.6 2.55 210
54 Colorado P12 106.2
90
94.5
44
.7934 15-12 10-10 43.4% 39.2% 55.4 1.61 46
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
53 UCF Amer 106.5
81
94.6
47
.7946 11-10 10-8 83.0% 83.2% 48.1 1.98 41
68 Penn St. B10 107.2
66
96.4
71
.7715 11-13 8-12 45.4% 46.5% 18.7 2.47 149
69 Saint Louis A10 105.9
92
95.5
61
.7662 13-5 6-4 63.2% 58.7% 32.5 2.42 127
84 Missouri St. MVC 106.9
70
97.9
98
.7332 13-7 11-7 87.1% 91.4% 8.4 2.44 109
83 TCU B12 107.6
53
98.6
112
.7337 13-12 6-10 26.5% 21.8% 51.7 1.9 436
82 Northern Iowa MVC 108.3
47
99.0
120
.7365 13-9 11-7 99.0% 98.7% 14 2.21 0
81 Liberty ASun 107.2
62
98.0
100
.7374 16-5 11-2 72.2% 69.8% 6.7 1.94 0
85 Cincinnati Amer 102.9
147
94.4
43
.7293 10-10 8-7 58.4% 49.6% 36.6 2.23 205
86 Buffalo MAC 106.2
89
97.5
90
.7286 15-5 13-4 63.4% 65.7% 29.8 2.34 55
89 Rhode Island A10 104.7
121
96.3
70
.7224 13-11 10-7 74.1% 70.2% 37.1 2.45 77
88 DePaul BE 105.3
107
96.8
81
.7231 8-9 7-8 33.7% 29.5% 42.2 1.88 211
87 Marquette BE 105.3
105
96.8
80
.7251 12-14 7-12 19.8% 17.3% 57.4 1.65 195
80 Murray St. OVC 106.9
69
97.5
91
.7423 18-5 16-4 64.8% 66.0% 19.1 2.49 249
79 Vanderbilt SEC 107.4
58
98.0
99
.7424 11-11 6-10 51.5% 55.3% 28.9 1.89 139
73 Virginia ACC 102.8
152
92.9
23
.7616 12-11 8-9 36.9% 33.6% 59.3 1.77 137
72 Belmont OVC 108.5
41
98.1
101
.7628 21-5 16-4 96.6% 97.5% 5 2.44 0
71 Boise St. MWC 106.6
76
96.2
69
.7639 15-9 13-7 72.9% 67.2% 43.5 2.65 0
70 Mississippi SEC 103.9
133
93.7
36
.7657 15-10 9-9 54.3% 49.0% 52.8 2.17 123
74 Loyola Marymount WCC 109.0
37
98.6
113
.7609 13-7 7-5 81.6% 82.6% 4.2 2.3 173
75 Georgia Tech ACC 104.4
123
94.5
45
.7596 12-11 8-9 65.1% 59.4% 68.2 2.01 52
78 Butler BE 105.8
96
95.9
65
.7564 11-12 9-11 91.9% 91.2% 44.8 2.28 53
77 North Carolina St. ACC 105.8
97
95.8
64
.7569 13-10 9-9 61.1% 57.5% 80.5 1.81 78
76 VCU A10 102.9
149
93.1
26
.7589 14-9 8-6 49.4% 45.3% 39 1.95 83
46 Colorado St. MWC 110.2
25
97.1
86
.8109 14-7 12-6 93.4% 95.1% 20.8 2.1 84
45 Washington St. P12 106.6
74
93.8
37
.8129 17-10 11-9 61.4% 58.2% 22.8 1.94 115
16 St. Bonaventure A10 110.7
20
92.8
21
.8846 14-3 12-3 86.5% 86.4% 4.8 2.55 68
15 Tennessee SEC 110.2
26
91.6
7
.8927 18-6 12-5 56.3% 51.8% 80.2 1.53 66
14 Villanova BE 114.9
4
95.3
58
.8962 15-6 11-4 75.1% 72.2% 83.5 2.03 0
13 Houston Amer 110.3
24
91.4
4
.8971 18-5 13-4 46.3% 42.8% 53.2 2.07 134
17 Kentucky SEC 113.0
12
94.8
50
.8820 15-9 10-7 44.9% 40.8% 72.4 1.91 283
18 Connecticut BE 111.4
18
93.7
35
.8805 14-6 11-6 78.6% 74.1% 53.7 2.27 0
22 Auburn SEC 110.1
27
93.1
27
.8728 18-9 11-7 59.8% 55.4% 67.4 1.36 231
21 Maryland B10 109.4
31
92.4
14
.8745 16-10 11-9 45.5% 45.1% 66.2 1.85 157
20 Xavier BE 112.3
14
94.8
49
.8750 15-5 9-4 81.1% 82.7% 51.7 2.29 112
19 Texas Tech B12 108.8
40
91.5
6
.8790 18-8 10-7 43.6% 42.6% 27.7 2.41 276
12 Ohio St. B10 115.0
3
95.1
55
.8991 17-9 13-7 63.3% 60.8% 63.3 2.56 146
11 Memphis Amer 109.1
36
89.9
1
.9025 18-4 12-3 57.7% 56.3% 78.7 1.99 149
5 Kansas B12 114.0
9
92.2
11
.9198 18-8 12-6 71.0% 72.0% 74.3 2.36 221
4 Illinois B10 114.4
7
92.2
12
.9230 18-8 13-7 63.4% 59.4% 63.9 2.12 92
3 Texas B12 113.8
10
91.4
5
.9255 18-6 12-5 37.8% 38.8% 81.3 2.52 479
2 UCLA P12 117.6
2
92.5
16
.9403 20-5 15-4 92.9% 91.4% 84.7 2.05 55
6 Michigan B10 112.4
13
90.9
2
.9196 18-7 13-7 39.9% 41.9% 74.2 1.53 46
7 Purdue B10 113.1
11
92.0
9
.9148 19-8 13-7 91.3% 93.5% 61.3 1.84 0
10 Alabama SEC 111.9
16
92.1
10
.9032 20-7 12-6 46.3% 47.9% 71.4 1.43 112
9 Baylor B12 114.5
6
93.6
34
.9110 16-6 9-5 41.2% 35.9% 55.7 1.66 138
8 Duke ACC 114.6
5
93.4
31
.9134 16-6 13-5 40.1% 39.7% 92.3 0.96 61
23 Michigan St. B10 109.4
32
92.9
24
.8670 16-10 11-9 47.7% 42.8% 73.7 1.79 107
24 Florida SEC 110.0
29
93.5
33
.8658 13-8 10-6 40.2% 42.3% 40.7 2.46 208
39 Northwestern B10 106.7
73
93.5
32
.8212 12-11 9-11 73.8% 78.3% 52.3 2 26
38 Oregon P12 110.7
21
96.4
72
.8301 16-8 11-7 39.3% 27.1% 68.3 2.08 273
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
37 Saint Mary's WCC 105.3
106
91.7
8
.8303 14-7 6-4 100.0% 100.0% 30.9 2.43 0
36 BYU WCC 109.4
33
95.2
56
.8318 15-8 8-5 61.9% 58.2% 37.3 2.37 96
40 Seton Hall BE 108.1
48
94.7
48
.8204 14-11 10-9 54.5% 48.0% 67.8 2.44 147
41 Oklahoma St. B12 105.6
99
92.6
18
.8191 14-11 9-9 80.5% 74.0% 65.6 1.89 115
44 Wichita St. Amer 107.2
64
94.3
42
.8133 10-7 8-5 64.2% 66.1% 24.7 2.04 81
43 LSU SEC 112.0
15
98.5
111
.8144 15-9 9-8 33.4% 22.6% 82 1.43 181
42 Richmond A10 110.0
28
96.5
74
.8186 13-6 8-3 86.1% 81.7% 18.4 2.72 78
35 San Diego St. MWC 106.4
87
92.5
15
.8333 16-7 12-5 61.0% 57.0% 30.7 2.72 145
34 Loyola Chicago MVC 106.8
72
92.8
22
.8336 17-6 13-5 79.2% 71.4% 5.1 2.75 152
28 Arkansas SEC 108.5
43
92.7
20
.8589 18-8 10-7 38.5% 38.4% 39.1 2.48 354
27 Florida St. ACC 108.5
44
92.7
19
.8594 14-6 10-5 39.0% 30.1% 48.5 1.94 155
26 Louisville ACC 111.6
17
94.9
52
.8652 13-7 8-6 53.9% 45.4% 60.2 1.99 304
25 North Carolina ACC 110.5
23
94.0
39
.8658 16-9 9-7 65.2% 63.1% 89 1.53 141
29 Notre Dame ACC 114.4
8
98.2
105
.8525 14-10 11-7 79.7% 81.8% 72.4 2.65 147
30 Indiana B10 109.5
30
94.1
40
.8509 15-12 11-9 64.7% 65.1% 74.2 2.15 191
33 Arizona P12 109.0
38
94.5
46
.8368 17-9 11-9 52.1% 45.7% 69.3 1.24 141
32 USC P12 108.0
50
93.3
29
.8438 17-10 12-8 53.4% 50.7% 65.1 2.06 51
31 West Virginia B12 110.9
19
95.8
63
.8438 15-11 9-8 48.7% 42.3% 29 2.2 97
90 Miami FL ACC 108.4
46
99.8
132
.7218 12-12 8-11 49.5% 50.6% 67.8 2.12 161
91 Washington P12 107.3
59
98.9
118
.7201 11-14 8-12 38.1% 28.4% 50.3 2.41 357
150 East Carolina Amer 102.4
166
100.5
148
.5524 8-9 4-8 46.8% 45.1% 20.8 2.46 193
149 Texas A&M SEC 101.0
203
99.2
123
.5524 7-10 3-7 32.5% 29.2% 54.5 1.05 208
148 UTEP CUSA 100.5
219
98.7
114
.5529 9-11 8-8 75.6% 71.6% 30.1 2.23 110
147 Charlotte CUSA 102.4
170
100.4
145
.5556 12-11 8-8 46.2% 46.7% 39.3 2.33 336
151 South Dakota Sum 106.6
75
104.7
232
.5517 13-9 10-5 81.6% 68.2% 0 2.17 97
152 Duquesne A10 99.9
235
98.2
104
.5509 8-8 6-8 42.4% 29.0% 14.1 1.78 216
156 Delaware CAA 102.4
167
100.8
152
.5459 9-4 7-2 96.4% 96.9% 10.5 2.28 96
155 George Mason A10 101.8
181
100.2
140
.5477 10-9 6-8 37.6% 34.2% 28 2.27 201
154 California P12 101.2
197
99.5
128
.5480 9-17 5-15 53.7% 45.2% 39.7 1.95 52
153 Wofford SC 103.0
146
101.2
161
.5504 13-8 11-6 68.3% 60.2% 4.1 1.61 38
146 UNC Greensboro SC 101.1
198
99.2
122
.5561 17-9 12-6 53.0% 47.1% 24.1 2.53 146
145 Eastern Kentucky ASun 104.7
119
102.5
188
.5620 16-9 13-7 57.6% 44.0% 12.7 2.44 251
139 Indiana St. MVC 101.4
190
98.9
119
.5711 10-12 8-10 40.1% 41.5% 10.2 1.55 129
138 Seattle WAC 103.9
131
101.1
160
.5770 10-7 5-4 85.6% 85.6% 1.6 2.21 92
137 North Texas CUSA 99.4
246
96.5
73
.5850 11-10 7-7 39.9% 35.4% 17.5 1.9 107
136 Vermont AE 102.7
159
99.7
130
.5852 10-4 10-4 75.0% 71.2% 5.8 2.83 34
140 Winthrop BSth 102.7
155
100.3
142
.5697 15-6 13-5 55.6% 49.1% 11.8 2.5 191
141 Minnesota B10 101.1
199
98.8
116
.5674 9-18 4-16 7.8% 5.8% 16.7 2.41 252
144 Navy Pat 103.8
134
101.6
170
.5630 12-5 10-3 82.0% 79.2% 0 2.22 0
143 Yale Ivy 102.4
169
100.1
139
.5638 0-0 0-0 52.7% 50.4% 3.1 1.63 31
142 Northern Kentucky Horz 104.5
122
102.2
182
.5644 15-8 12-6 85.2% 90.8% 3.9 2.48 68
157 Oral Roberts Sum 107.4
56
105.9
256
.5403 11-9 11-4 69.5% 65.3% 16.8 1.8 131
158 Valparaiso MVC 104.9
114
103.7
210
.5348 10-15 8-10 35.0% 32.0% 16.8 1.93 274
173 Penn Ivy 96.7
292
96.7
79
.4982 0-0 0-0 35.4% 33.8% 0 1.5 155
172 Rice CUSA 107.6
54
107.5
285
.5021 10-12 6-10 83.7% 82.7% 10.3 2.37 173
171 Iowa St. B12 101.8
185
101.7
172
.5025 6-17 3-15 40.7% 33.2% 44.3 2.41 393
170 Appalachian St. SB 101.5
188
101.3
164
.5058 11-9 9-6 92.0% 91.9% 9.3 2.34 0
174 Bryant NEC 105.0
113
105.2
243
.4925 13-7 12-4 76.1% 73.2% 3.7 2.44 151
175 Marshall CUSA 101.6
186
101.9
176
.4925 10-11 7-7 56.5% 57.1% 6.7 1.58 0
178 Prairie View A&M SWAC 100.4
222
100.9
155
.4874 13-5 11-2 59.6% 57.4% 8.6 2.73 256
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
177 Merrimack NEC 97.3
279
97.7
93
.4897 13-5 13-5 83.3% 88.8% 0 1.99 0
176 Jacksonville St. ASun 100.7
213
101.0
158
.4907 12-11 11-8 58.9% 54.0% 8.2 2.33 128
169 Campbell BSth 103.8
135
103.3
203
.5141 14-8 11-6 93.0% 94.7% 0 2.35 0
168 Tarleton St. WAC 100.5
220
99.9
136
.5159 8-7 6-6 76.8% 67.5% 0 1.76 97
162 Pittsburgh ACC 100.2
231
99.1
121
.5306 7-14 4-12 40.5% 30.4% 32.2 1.77 151
161 Bradley MVC 102.4
162
101.3
165
.5312 11-14 7-11 53.2% 44.6% 3 1.8 114
160 Sam Houston St. WAC 102.7
154
101.6
171
.5320 15-8 13-3 64.6% 50.9% 16.3 2.42 154
159 Louisiana Lafayette SB 105.4
102
104.3
222
.5320 14-8 11-6 49.6% 36.6% 37.8 2.47 349
163 Saint Peter's MAAC 97.0
286
95.9
66
.5304 14-8 12-5 71.4% 69.1% 0 1.89 50
164 Pepperdine WCC 101.8
180
100.8
153
.5291 8-12 4-9 44.0% 35.1% 21.6 2.26 134
167 UNLV MWC 105.5
101
104.9
236
.5162 9-14 7-11 32.0% 28.6% 36.9 2.6 360
166 James Madison CAA 105.6
98
104.9
235
.5201 9-7 6-4 66.8% 62.5% 2.2 2.17 226
165 Weber St. BSky 106.5
79
105.5
248
.5282 12-8 10-6 61.9% 59.0% 14.9 2.41 182
135 Grand Canyon WAC 105.6
100
102.3
185
.5892 10-8 7-5 40.2% 38.5% 33.6 2.27 252
134 Missouri SEC 101.5
189
98.3
108
.5892 7-16 5-11 19.7% 19.2% 42.4 1.59 174
106 Oregon St. P12 105.4
104
99.4
127
.6624 11-14 7-13 53.9% 53.8% 27.5 2.34 139
105 Santa Clara WCC 105.3
108
99.3
124
.6626 9-7 4-5 66.1% 65.7% 19.3 2.41 117
104 Colgate Pat 106.6
77
100.3
143
.6672 10-2 10-2 70.5% 62.5% -0 2.16 0
103 New Mexico St. WAC 107.9
51
101.4
166
.6729 8-5 7-5 63.4% 62.2% 16.7 2.52 257
107 Wright St. Horz 102.4
168
96.6
77
.6600 17-6 15-5 73.2% 67.1% 8.1 1.82 40
108 Northeastern CAA 102.4
163
96.9
82
.6548 10-7 7-3 81.4% 71.2% 7.1 2.2 223
111 Dayton A10 102.4
171
97.0
84
.6492 11-10 8-8 46.4% 34.0% 54.6 1.25 114
110 Wyoming MWC 108.0
49
102.4
186
.6501 14-10 9-8 75.4% 66.3% 7.8 1.95 55
109 Massachusetts A10 106.4
85
100.7
151
.6524 7-6 6-4 53.8% 52.4% 17 2.08 244
102 Georgetown BE 103.6
140
97.2
87
.6752 9-12 6-10 35.0% 29.8% 36 1.45 81
101 Iona MAAC 106.4
83
99.9
134
.6757 9-4 7-2 46.2% 37.9% 25 2.22 248
95 Wake Forest ACC 106.4
84
98.4
110
.7109 9-11 7-11 44.5% 42.3% 31.9 2.2 210
94 St. John's BE 104.9
116
96.9
83
.7125 13-13 7-12 39.4% 44.5% 33.4 2.06 206
93 UC Riverside BW 105.9
94
97.8
96
.7135 15-5 11-3 68.8% 61.3% 18.2 2.31 132
92 Kansas St. B12 102.1
176
94.2
41
.7166 13-13 6-12 71.8% 70.1% 55.4 1.89 187
96 SMU Amer 107.2
63
99.3
125
.7065 9-8 6-7 33.5% 39.3% 31.2 2.56 236
97 Tulsa Amer 104.0
130
96.6
75
.7023 10-11 7-10 49.9% 43.8% 35.4 2.29 209
100 Western Kentucky CUSA 104.3
125
97.9
97
.6758 14-10 10-4 35.7% 31.7% 45.6 2.2 198
99 Louisiana Tech CUSA 101.9
179
95.4
59
.6801 16-9 10-6 64.9% 66.3% 8.3 1.9 70
98 UC Irvine BW 102.4
165
95.3
57
.6969 15-7 12-4 79.1% 80.1% 3.3 1.64 25
112 Tulane Amer 102.9
148
97.6
92
.6473 11-11 7-10 70.7% 67.0% 31.5 1.7 112
113 Florida Atlantic CUSA 103.5
142
98.1
103
.6470 11-6 8-4 67.9% 61.9% 12.5 1.98 116
128 Georgia St. SB 106.5
78
102.6
190
.6066 11-6 8-4 75.8% 72.3% 35.4 2.25 140
127 Southern Miss CUSA 102.7
158
98.7
115
.6129 13-9 10-7 78.7% 77.8% 0 2.42 110
126 Davidson A10 106.4
82
102.2
183
.6138 9-9 5-6 63.5% 60.3% 40 1.97 47
125 Akron MAC 104.2
128
100.0
138
.6151 12-8 12-7 61.4% 51.4% 24.2 2.44 126
129 Miami OH MAC 106.4
88
102.6
191
.6010 14-8 11-7 87.4% 90.0% 0.9 2.49 27
130 Boston College ACC 103.6
139
100.2
141
.5962 6-13 4-9 35.0% 29.9% 36.2 1.8 119
133 Montana BSky 102.8
151
99.6
129
.5893 14-8 13-5 89.6% 85.6% -0 1.78 77
132 Morehead St. OVC 105.2
109
101.9
175
.5920 15-10 13-7 56.3% 57.3% 0 2.15 252
131 Cleveland St. Horz 107.3
60
103.8
212
.5956 15-8 14-6 70.9% 73.8% 0 2.72 166
124 South Dakota St. Sum 107.2
61
102.8
193
.6182 12-8 9-3 88.3% 79.1% 3.8 2.27 0
123 Utah P12 104.3
127
99.9
135
.6199 9-14 6-13 27.3% 22.9% 39.8 2.24 267
117 Southern Utah BSky 106.5
80
101.4
167
.6363 12-5 11-3 91.4% 92.1% 11.1 2.77 79
116 Old Dominion CUSA 104.8
118
99.8
133
.6377 12-9 9-7 43.4% 39.7% 31.2 2.26 197
115 UC Santa Barbara BW 106.8
71
101.5
169
.6422 13-8 12-6 50.1% 52.8% 47.6 2.34 77
114 Fresno St. MWC 105.9
93
100.6
149
.6447 10-10 10-10 89.9% 89.9% 30.3 2.21 110
118 Southern Illinois MVC 103.1
145
98.3
107
.6332 13-10 9-9 98.4% 98.8% 0 1.94 46
119 Toledo MAC 105.2
110
100.4
146
.6293 17-10 13-6 59.2% 54.6% 2.4 1.94 55
122 Furman SC 102.7
160
98.3
106
.6235 14-7 10-5 72.3% 64.9% 0 2.4 32
121 South Carolina SEC 101.1
200
96.7
78
.6254 8-12 6-10 40.3% 40.3% 33.4 2.29 210
120 Temple Amer 101.8
183
97.3
88
.6275 7-9 6-9 64.9% 70.5% 32.9 1.76 0
1 Gonzaga WCC 121.3
1
91.2
3
.9638 22-2 14-1 46.0% 44.8% 89.4 1.39 70

Compiled by Bart Torvik from sacred data and secret formulas.