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Conf.: State:

2022 T-Rank College Basketball Projections

Note: Projected records based on last year's schedules
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Rec Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
113 Fresno St. MWC 106.0
96
100.4
146
.6517 10-10 10-10 89.9% 89.9% 30.3 2.21 110
158 Yale Ivy 102.4
167
101.2
162
.5338 0-0 0-0 52.7% 50.4% 7.3 2.18 0
298 LIU Brooklyn NEC 93.6
331
103.7
211
.2352 8-10 8-10 47.4% 43.5% 3.1 2.04 65
340 Dartmouth Ivy 91.1
352
107.2
278
.1335 0-0 0-0 29.8% 23.2% 4.6 1.46 0
342 Cornell Ivy 94.5
325
111.4
343
.1306 0-0 0-0 38.4% 27.9% 0 1.37 0
132 Vermont AE 103.2
145
99.6
130
.6000 11-3 11-3 75.0% 71.2% 5.8 2.83 34
345 Alabama St. SWAC 91.9
345
109.6
318
.1158 7-11 7-11 46.8% 38.2% 15 2.06 138
214 Cal St. Fullerton BW 104.0
131
107.6
285
.4034 7-7 7-7 74.7% 73.0% 12.3 2.11 128
101 Colgate Pat 106.8
79
100.2
142
.6772 10-2 10-2 70.5% 62.5% 0 2.27 0
265 Lehigh Pat 97.4
278
104.5
228
.3074 7-7 7-7 84.0% 78.5% 0 1.93 0
279 American Pat 95.4
318
103.8
212
.2743 3-6 3-6 69.2% 61.2% 0 1.78 21
304 Brown Ivy 91.9
343
102.6
191
.2189 0-0 0-0 38.1% 23.9% 7.8 1.39 26
210 Penn Ivy 96.7
291
99.9
136
.4083 0-0 0-0 35.3% 33.8% 12 1.32 31
328 Holy Cross Pat 95.9
309
110.1
325
.1699 5-11 5-11 59.0% 56.5% 0 1.45 23
155 Loyola MD Pat 103.5
137
101.6
170
.5522 10-4 10-4 74.3% 75.2% 22.9 2.19 0
330 St. Thomas Sum 96.2
305
110.5
328
.1693 0-0 0-0 70.0% 70.0% 9.4 1.12 98
237 Fordham A10 94.9
321
99.8
134
.3614 4-9 4-9 40.2% 36.2% 4.1 2.22 253
239 Canisius MAAC 100.6
220
105.8
252
.3589 5-7 5-7 79.9% 74.4% 2.3 2.3 0
348 Columbia Ivy 91.3
351
110.6
330
.0993 0-0 0-0 26.4% 18.6% 10 1.06 0
182 Hawaii BW 102.7
161
103.5
208
.4766 10-8 10-8 55.6% 52.1% 11.5 2.51 180
285 Lafayette Pat 100.1
230
109.7
319
.2594 6-8 6-8 59.7% 53.9% 5.4 2.13 0
313 Bucknell Pat 95.6
316
107.6
286
.2043 4-6 4-6 53.1% 47.1% 4 1.78 0
357 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 87.1
357
111.0
338
.0578 0-0 0-0 34.0% 35.4% -0 1.6 182
196 Siena MAAC 101.6
187
103.8
213
.4394 11-7 11-7 45.9% 33.9% 8.6 2.56 278
181 Princeton Ivy 101.5
191
102.3
183
.4800 0-0 0-0 61.4% 56.8% 18 1.52 0
352 Bethune Cookman SWAC 88.8
355
109.4
315
.0836 0-0 0-0 5.2% 6.1% 4.2 1.56 129
270 Boston University Pat 98.6
258
106.7
270
.2867 8-8 8-8 61.9% 54.0% 9.8 2.4 44
177 Harvard Ivy 100.3
228
100.8
153
.4868 0-0 0-0 30.7% 36.4% 63.3 0.7 0
173 Merrimack NEC 97.6
274
97.6
93
.4983 13-5 13-5 83.3% 88.8% 0 2.09 0
82 Missouri St. MVC 107.2
67
97.8
98
.7403 14-6 12-6 87.1% 91.4% 8.4 2.44 109
235 Fort Wayne Horz 103.1
147
108.0
293
.3696 11-10 10-10 56.8% 56.9% 0 2.4 146
39 Northwestern B10 106.9
73
93.1
26
.8307 13-10 10-10 73.8% 78.3% 52.3 2 26
245 Manhattan MAAC 96.7
292
102.4
186
.3415 9-10 8-10 89.1% 88.9% 19 2.93 160
43 Washington St. P12 106.8
78
93.6
35
.8205 18-9 11-9 65.7% 61.0% 22.8 1.94 115
108 Tulane Amer 103.2
141
97.3
87
.6648 12-10 7-10 70.7% 67.0% 31.5 1.7 112
88 UAB CUSA 107.7
49
98.9
119
.7274 18-7 12-6 33.8% 32.3% 33 2.65 300
207 Marist MAAC 96.3
304
99.3
126
.4115 11-9 9-9 76.2% 71.2% 2.8 2.3 47
333 IUPUI Horz 93.5
334
108.4
302
.1537 4-13 4-12 53.0% 38.7% 1.8 2.45 57
254 Tennessee St. OVC 101.0
211
107.7
287
.3232 10-12 9-11 28.8% 19.6% 23.8 2.14 373
89 Wake Forest ACC 106.9
76
98.2
105
.7259 9-11 7-11 44.5% 42.3% 31.9 2.2 210
281 Presbyterian BSth 97.5
276
106.3
264
.2695 8-12 7-10 97.4% 96.7% -0 1.86 26
262 Austin Peay OVC 99.9
235
107.0
274
.3126 12-12 9-11 52.9% 43.9% 9.6 2.26 108
228 UNC Asheville BSth 103.0
149
107.5
283
.3805 10-9 7-7 73.5% 71.9% 8.8 2.49 128
168 Rice CUSA 107.7
51
107.3
280
.5111 11-11 6-10 83.7% 82.7% 10.3 2.37 173
247 Albany AE 98.7
257
104.6
230
.3398 7-7 6-6 32.5% 25.0% 15.4 2.62 216
204 Coastal Carolina SB 101.2
200
104.2
221
.4171 9-8 7-7 61.3% 49.2% 5.5 2.56 174
37 Arizona P12 108.9
40
94.5
47
.8365 17-9 11-9 52.1% 45.7% 69.3 1.21 107
112 Wyoming MWC 107.8
48
102.0
179
.6521 14-10 9-8 75.4% 66.3% 9.4 1.96 20
201 Cal Baptist WAC 103.6
135
106.5
266
.4218 10-8 5-7 64.9% 61.4% 15.4 2.45 246
288 Binghamton AE 99.3
243
109.0
310
.2557 7-10 5-9 78.6% 72.9% 0.9 2.17 115
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
331 Youngstown St. Horz 96.2
306
111.2
341
.1588 6-15 6-14 41.9% 31.7% 9.4 1.3 110
233 New Mexico St. WAC 100.7
217
105.4
244
.3713 5-8 4-8 24.2% 22.3% 9.3 2.12 220
97 DePaul BE 104.0
128
97.1
86
.6882 8-9 6-9 33.7% 29.5% 49.2 1.85 165
312 FIU CUSA 93.5
332
105.2
241
.2051 5-17 3-14 47.2% 35.5% 16.1 1.99 124
116 Temple Amer 102.1
177
97.0
85
.6412 7-9 6-9 64.9% 70.5% 32.9 1.76 0
310 Alabama A&M SWAC 92.0
341
103.2
203
.2097 7-8 6-7 92.1% 92.8% -0 1.74 0
70 Belmont OVC 108.6
42
97.9
100
.7670 21-5 16-4 96.6% 97.5% 5 2.44 0
91 SMU Amer 107.5
57
99.0
121
.7192 9-8 6-7 33.5% 39.3% 31.2 2.56 236
58 Drake MVC 110.6
21
98.5
111
.7912 18-7 12-6 88.5% 83.5% 4.7 2.74 34
276 The Citadel SC 100.8
215
109.3
314
.2814 7-12 6-10 66.9% 59.7% 2.3 1.87 0
187 Drexel CAA 104.1
127
105.6
249
.4583 9-7 5-4 59.0% 55.9% 7.5 2.42 84
334 Central Michigan MAC 95.7
315
111.0
336
.1536 5-15 4-12 35.0% 24.8% 3.5 2.38 173
186 East Carolina Amer 99.1
247
100.5
149
.4598 7-10 3-9 46.8% 45.1% 10.7 2.16 108
24 Arkansas SEC 108.6
43
92.5
16
.8632 18-8 10-7 38.5% 38.4% 39.1 2.48 354
224 Texas St. SB 95.9
310
100.0
139
.3836 12-10 8-7 49.9% 49.5% 0 1.92 52
223 Quinnipiac MAAC 96.9
287
100.9
156
.3852 12-10 9-9 70.3% 73.4% 6.7 1.91 50
326 Hampton BSth 95.2
319
108.6
306
.1790 7-16 6-12 62.6% 53.4% 12.2 2.6 176
136 UNC Greensboro SC 101.6
188
98.6
112
.5857 17-9 12-6 53.0% 47.1% 25.4 2.53 110
55 Texas Tech B12 105.7
104
94.0
40
.7930 15-11 8-9 20.2% 14.7% 13.7 2.14 194
98 Louisiana Tech CUSA 102.0
180
95.3
59
.6846 17-8 10-6 64.9% 66.3% 8.3 1.9 70
236 George Washington A10 102.7
160
107.8
289
.3647 6-9 2-6 41.7% 41.0% 42.5 2.26 278
156 Delaware CAA 102.5
165
100.7
151
.5518 9-4 7-2 96.4% 96.9% 10.5 2.28 96
99 Oregon St. P12 105.8
101
99.1
122
.6807 12-13 8-12 53.9% 53.8% 27.5 2.34 139
297 Northern Illinois MAC 95.7
314
106.0
256
.2366 6-13 4-10 64.7% 60.4% 13 2.38 155
149 George Mason A10 102.0
179
99.6
131
.5676 10-9 7-7 37.6% 34.2% 28 2.25 184
246 Louisiana Monroe SB 98.6
259
104.4
226
.3403 12-13 8-10 63.8% 65.4% 0 2.78 121
175 Duquesne A10 98.1
265
98.3
107
.4941 7-9 6-8 33.0% 20.2% 13.4 1.99 216
67 Mississippi SEC 104.0
130
93.7
36
.7694 15-10 9-9 54.3% 49.0% 52.8 2.17 123
244 Florida Gulf Coast ASun 102.8
157
108.7
307
.3457 8-6 5-4 68.6% 63.7% 2.9 2.62 297
163 Pittsburgh ACC 99.4
241
98.6
113
.5221 7-14 4-12 40.5% 30.4% 37.8 1.76 113
280 Monmouth MAAC 97.3
281
106.0
257
.2722 7-12 6-12 36.1% 29.4% -0 2.1 95
90 Miami FL ACC 108.5
44
99.7
133
.7250 12-12 8-11 49.5% 50.6% 67.8 2.12 161
78 Vanderbilt SEC 107.7
50
97.7
95
.7549 11-11 7-9 51.5% 55.3% 30.6 1.87 117
77 North Carolina St. ACC 105.9
99
95.7
64
.7606 13-10 9-9 61.1% 57.5% 80.5 1.81 78
94 Rutgers B10 102.1
178
94.2
42
.7152 10-14 6-14 49.4% 41.7% 56.6 1.69 29
147 Charlotte CUSA 102.4
168
99.9
137
.5698 13-10 8-8 53.2% 52.9% 40.2 2.32 307
100 Utah P12 106.1
93
99.4
128
.6792 10-13 7-12 40.3% 31.7% 44.4 2.36 227
353 Western Carolina SC 90.0
354
111.2
340
.0810 3-21 2-15 25.6% 16.8% 6.9 2.11 89
264 UMBC AE 97.7
271
104.8
235
.3088 8-11 5-9 51.7% 45.3% 10.8 2.41 151
277 Evansville MVC 100.9
214
109.5
316
.2805 7-17 4-14 48.5% 56.1% 0 2.14 0
76 Saint Louis A10 106.3
87
96.1
69
.7612 13-5 6-4 63.2% 58.7% 32.5 2.41 99
146 Eastern Kentucky ASun 104.7
114
102.2
182
.5702 16-9 13-7 57.6% 44.0% 12.7 2.49 218
127 Southern Miss CUSA 102.3
171
98.4
110
.6100 13-9 10-7 78.7% 77.8% 0 2.49 75
320 UT Rio Grande Valley WAC 92.1
340
104.7
233
.1864 4-9 2-4 51.2% 41.4% 8 2.7 136
128 Miami OH MAC 106.5
85
102.4
187
.6094 14-8 11-7 87.4% 90.0% 0.9 2.51 27
225 Georgia SEC 99.8
237
104.1
218
.3824 6-18 3-15 7.2% 4.5% 33.7 1.8 173
299 UNC Wilmington CAA 100.0
234
110.8
333
.2344 5-10 2-5 39.5% 30.5% 4.5 2.18 166
324 Denver Sum 97.3
280
110.9
335
.1825 7-13 5-9 34.1% 25.6% 7.3 2.61 171
135 Texas A&M SEC 101.4
197
98.3
108
.5862 8-9 3-7 32.5% 29.2% 52 1.05 227
171 Elon CAA 103.2
140
103.1
200
.5025 7-7 5-6 77.0% 74.4% 6.4 2.08 90
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
61 Iowa B10 109.5
36
97.7
96
.7872 14-13 8-12 53.3% 46.7% 48.9 1.81 37
125 Southern Illinois MVC 102.9
155
98.7
115
.6148 12-11 9-9 89.7% 88.0% 0 1.89 46
130 Louisiana Lafayette SB 107.2
64
103.4
205
.6035 15-7 12-5 64.1% 56.8% 41 2.57 349
263 Illinois Chicago Horz 96.3
302
103.2
202
.3118 10-11 8-8 51.9% 49.5% 7.9 2.85 252
16 Connecticut BE 111.6
16
93.6
34
.8835 14-6 11-6 78.6% 74.1% 53.7 2.27 0
230 Georgia Southern SB 96.5
297
100.9
155
.3754 9-12 7-9 71.8% 62.0% 15.1 2.34 0
355 Tennessee Martin OVC 91.5
350
114.4
357
.0714 3-20 3-17 2.0% 1.9% 6 2.33 264
200 UC Davis BW 100.1
232
102.6
189
.4305 8-7 7-5 76.0% 76.4% 0 2.11 44
105 Santa Clara WCC 105.4
109
99.2
124
.6671 9-7 4-5 66.1% 65.7% 19.3 2.41 117
294 Samford SC 96.9
286
107.1
276
.2413 5-11 3-8 44.3% 38.2% 9.6 1.65 165
8 Baylor B12 114.8
5
93.3
29
.9155 17-5 10-4 41.2% 35.9% 55.7 1.66 138
303 Howard MEAC 100.4
225
111.9
348
.2219 1-3 0-0 72.9% 70.3% 9.3 1.96 197
269 Western Illinois Sum 100.3
227
108.6
304
.2880 9-11 6-8 56.4% 51.7% 4.9 2.83 160
165 Campbell BSth 103.9
132
103.2
201
.5208 14-8 11-6 93.0% 94.7% 0 2.35 0
251 Jacksonville ASun 100.2
229
106.6
268
.3302 10-12 6-8 46.3% 43.9% 11.7 2.34 223
86 Kansas St. B12 102.7
159
94.1
41
.7320 13-13 7-11 74.0% 70.7% 57.6 1.95 187
273 College of Charleston CAA 100.6
218
109.1
312
.2832 6-10 4-6 17.0% 18.6% 17.8 2.01 318
248 Norfolk St. MEAC 98.2
264
104.2
222
.3345 10-9 7-5 49.5% 40.1% 1.6 2.45 72
140 Winthrop BSth 103.0
150
100.1
141
.5814 15-6 13-5 55.6% 49.1% 11.8 2.5 191
249 Robert Morris Horz 105.1
112
111.6
345
.3327 7-10 6-9 28.2% 25.5% 8.4 2.25 539
220 Middle Tennessee CUSA 101.1
207
105.2
240
.3868 8-13 5-11 47.4% 44.9% 8.6 2.55 184
106 Tulsa Amer 102.6
163
96.6
78
.6665 10-11 7-10 49.9% 43.8% 40.8 2.22 136
64 Mississippi St. SEC 107.0
70
95.9
66
.7795 16-11 9-9 49.5% 48.6% 60.3 1.81 245
356 Texas A&M Corpus Chris Slnd 87.9
356
110.0
323
.0705 4-17 3-12 26.4% 20.5% 4.2 1.67 39
30 Virginia Tech ACC 110.3
26
94.8
51
.8514 15-7 9-6 74.1% 76.3% 17.2 2.21 92
133 Minnesota B10 101.1
204
97.7
94
.5988 9-18 5-15 7.0% 4.6% 22.8 2.33 267
318 Air Force MWC 95.4
317
108.2
298
.1893 4-20 3-17 52.0% 50.6% 0 1.94 0
271 Troy SB 96.0
308
104.0
216
.2855 8-15 5-11 60.6% 54.0% 0.4 2.28 107
242 St. Francis NY NEC 100.1
231
105.7
251
.3475 11-8 10-8 49.5% 45.5% 0 2.69 217
212 Chattanooga SC 99.3
244
102.6
190
.4061 11-12 8-8 59.6% 48.0% 3.2 2.22 41
50 LSU SEC 112.0
13
98.9
118
.8070 15-9 9-8 28.7% 14.7% 76.9 1.48 218
92 UC Riverside BW 106.1
94
97.8
97
.7189 15-5 11-3 68.8% 61.3% 18.2 2.31 132
216 New Hampshire AE 101.2
203
105.1
239
.3935 10-7 9-6 80.5% 81.2% 0 2.13 45
259 Southeast Missouri St. OVC 99.0
250
105.7
250
.3201 12-14 10-10 78.3% 75.1% 8.2 2.48 36
19 Michigan St. B10 109.6
33
92.5
15
.8760 16-10 11-9 47.7% 42.8% 77.7 1.7 66
258 Dixie St. WAC 97.9
268
104.5
229
.3209 8-11 6-8 76.7% 69.1% 3.7 2.17 62
81 Buffalo MAC 106.9
75
97.4
89
.7444 15-5 13-4 63.4% 65.7% 32.5 2.57 55
138 Seattle WAC 104.0
129
101.0
159
.5828 10-7 6-3 85.6% 85.6% 1.6 2.21 92
350 Eastern Illinois OVC 90.6
353
110.1
324
.0959 5-22 4-16 23.3% 11.5% 2.6 1.42 136
40 Oregon P12 110.3
25
96.3
72
.8273 15-9 10-8 39.3% 27.1% 72.1 2.09 232
160 James Madison CAA 105.7
102
104.7
232
.5276 9-7 6-4 66.8% 62.5% 2.2 2.17 226
142 Northern Kentucky Horz 104.7
116
102.0
178
.5741 15-8 13-5 87.6% 92.3% 3.9 2.48 68
4 Michigan B10 112.7
10
90.6
2
.9242 18-7 13-7 39.9% 41.9% 74.2 1.53 46
102 Iona MAAC 106.5
83
99.9
138
.6758 9-4 7-2 46.2% 37.9% 25 2.27 248
107 Wright St. Horz 102.5
166
96.5
76
.6655 17-6 15-5 73.2% 67.1% 8.1 1.82 40
69 Virginia ACC 102.9
153
92.7
20
.7675 12-11 8-9 36.9% 33.6% 59.3 1.77 137
34 Ohio MAC 111.7
15
96.7
79
.8400 17-4 13-3 94.8% 94.6% 6 2.38 56
44 Oklahoma B12 106.2
89
93.2
28
.8177 13-10 8-9 35.0% 28.3% 26.3 2.51 226
229 Fairfield MAAC 98.5
262
102.8
194
.3778 11-12 9-9 73.5% 66.9% 1.8 2.16 0
56 Wisconsin B10 103.4
139
92.1
11
.7915 14-13 9-11 42.1% 35.9% 69.5 1.26 23
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
85 TCU B12 107.3
60
98.2
106
.7351 13-12 6-10 26.5% 21.8% 51.2 1.92 396
115 Florida Atlantic CUSA 104.2
126
98.8
117
.6463 11-6 8-4 67.9% 61.9% 12.5 1.98 106
53 Creighton BE 107.4
59
95.3
58
.7983 14-11 10-10 18.2% 16.3% 71.9 0.87 50
124 St. John's BE 101.5
193
97.3
88
.6192 10-16 6-13 24.4% 24.8% 46.8 1.93 170
74 Georgia Tech ACC 104.7
115
94.4
46
.7657 12-11 7-10 65.1% 59.4% 68.2 2.01 52
172 Marshall CUSA 101.9
181
101.9
176
.5016 11-10 7-7 56.5% 57.1% 6.8 1.71 0
232 New Mexico MWC 98.5
260
103.1
199
.3730 5-14 4-13 60.4% 57.4% 38.2 1.87 267
38 Saint Mary's WCC 105.4
107
91.6
6
.8343 14-7 6-4 100.0% 100.0% 30.9 2.43 0
241 High Point BSth 100.5
223
105.9
255
.3521 10-12 8-9 75.2% 74.5% 5.6 2.1 73
12 Houston Amer 110.6
22
91.2
4
.9015 19-4 13-4 46.3% 42.8% 53.2 2.07 134
287 William & Mary CAA 94.8
324
103.9
215
.2573 4-11 3-7 83.9% 79.2% 0 2.02 34
322 Little Rock SB 92.7
338
105.5
246
.1840 6-18 4-14 56.5% 51.1% 0 2.12 38
231 UTSA CUSA 101.0
212
105.6
248
.3742 7-13 6-10 58.5% 41.2% 22.2 2.02 59
15 Tennessee SEC 110.4
23
91.5
5
.8966 18-6 12-5 56.3% 51.8% 80.4 1.48 66
119 Furman SC 102.9
154
98.0
101
.6360 14-7 10-5 72.3% 64.9% 0 2.4 32
217 Abilene Christian WAC 96.3
303
100.0
140
.3924 13-8 11-4 39.1% 31.2% -0 1.9 0
319 Stephen F. Austin WAC 91.6
349
104.0
217
.1873 8-10 7-8 35.3% 28.3% 12.8 1.75 72
240 East Tennessee St. SC 97.2
283
102.3
185
.3569 9-12 7-8 29.2% 32.8% 4.7 1.88 132
151 California P12 101.5
195
99.3
125
.5624 9-17 5-15 53.7% 45.2% 39.7 1.95 52
80 Murray St. OVC 107.1
69
97.4
90
.7473 18-5 16-4 64.8% 66.0% 19.1 2.5 216
96 Georgetown BE 103.9
134
96.9
83
.6891 9-12 6-10 35.0% 29.8% 36 1.45 81
62 Marquette BE 107.0
71
95.6
63
.7843 13-13 9-10 34.2% 33.4% 58 1.35 116
17 St. Bonaventure A10 110.3
27
92.9
23
.8778 14-3 12-3 86.5% 86.4% 4.8 2.59 38
79 Liberty ASun 107.5
56
97.6
92
.7522 16-5 11-2 72.2% 69.8% 6.7 1.94 0
286 Cal St. Northridge BW 101.0
210
110.6
331
.2593 6-14 4-10 67.6% 67.3% 11.1 2.27 0
188 Illinois St. MVC 98.8
254
100.3
144
.4566 9-14 7-11 69.5% 59.4% 9 1.79 149
11 Maryland B10 111.8
14
91.9
9
.9047 18-8 12-8 62.1% 66.0% 69.5 2.17 157
6 Duke ACC 114.7
6
93.2
27
.9161 16-6 13-5 40.1% 39.7% 92.3 0.96 61
36 Loyola Chicago MVC 106.9
74
92.7
19
.8380 17-6 13-5 79.2% 71.4% 5.1 2.75 152
307 SIU Edwardsville OVC 96.6
296
108.2
297
.2135 8-16 7-12 71.1% 61.0% 2 2.3 80
222 Bowling Green MAC 102.1
175
106.3
263
.3855 9-15 8-11 51.2% 42.5% 17.1 2.16 279
164 Iowa St. B12 102.2
172
101.5
168
.5211 6-17 4-14 40.8% 33.2% 44.3 2.41 393
59 Syracuse ACC 109.5
37
97.5
91
.7907 14-9 8-8 34.4% 36.8% 56.8 2.26 157
309 Army Pat 93.1
336
104.3
224
.2118 6-12 5-9 49.7% 51.5% 0 1.61 11
148 North Texas CUSA 98.8
252
96.5
75
.5683 10-11 7-7 40.4% 35.9% 18.8 2.03 73
337 Central Connecticut NEC 95.0
320
111.5
344
.1371 6-15 5-13 46.6% 43.1% 0 2.57 31
20 Xavier BE 112.4
12
94.8
52
.8759 15-5 9-4 81.1% 82.7% 51.7 2.29 112
252 North Carolina A&T BSth 99.1
246
105.4
245
.3300 9-10 5-3 45.1% 47.0% 21.6 2.55 223
351 South Carolina St. MEAC 91.9
342
112.1
350
.0929 3-15 2-6 46.8% 41.0% 0 1.74 30
332 Delaware St. MEAC 97.3
279
112.7
354
.1561 4-11 3-7 64.6% 53.1% 10.6 1.92 0
176 Longwood BSth 101.3
199
101.7
172
.4881 15-10 13-7 61.7% 58.9% 7.4 2.11 148
1 Gonzaga WCC 121.4
1
91.1
3
.9645 22-2 14-1 46.0% 44.8% 89.4 1.39 70
10 Memphis Amer 109.3
38
89.8
1
.9060 18-4 12-3 57.7% 56.3% 78.7 1.99 149
226 Hartford AE 98.7
256
102.9
196
.3822 9-10 7-7 52.2% 41.3% 0 2.51 135
118 Southern Utah BSky 107.3
62
102.1
181
.6378 12-5 11-3 92.5% 93.1% 11.1 2.86 27
72 Butler BE 106.2
88
95.8
65
.7663 11-12 9-11 91.9% 91.2% 44.8 2.28 53
268 Idaho St. BSky 96.6
294
104.4
225
.2920 8-10 6-8 77.2% 65.8% 0 2.31 44
284 Portland WCC 102.4
170
112.0
349
.2620 4-13 2-9 9.1% 5.4% 14.3 2.16 257
103 Dayton A10 103.0
151
96.7
80
.6728 12-9 9-7 46.4% 34.0% 54.6 1.25 114
206 South Florida Amer 96.8
290
99.8
135
.4124 5-14 3-11 25.2% 28.0% 35.4 1.87 235
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
144 Georgia St. SB 105.4
106
102.8
193
.5723 10-7 8-4 61.1% 55.2% 40.8 1.98 140
68 Loyola Marymount WCC 109.2
39
98.4
109
.7680 13-7 7-5 81.6% 82.6% 4.2 2.3 173
134 Grand Canyon WAC 105.7
103
102.1
180
.5983 11-7 8-4 40.2% 38.5% 33.6 2.27 252
292 Charleston Southern BSth 96.6
295
106.4
265
.2485 7-13 6-11 59.2% 54.9% -0 2.02 95
193 Arkansas St. SB 102.8
156
104.7
231
.4500 10-9 8-7 77.4% 70.2% 7.8 2.02 88
179 Stony Brook AE 101.2
201
101.7
173
.4850 12-9 10-6 55.3% 55.9% 4.1 2.83 292
57 Nebraska B10 105.9
98
94.3
44
.7913 13-13 8-12 65.9% 63.6% 56 2.06 76
316 Lamar WAC 94.0
327
106.3
262
.1956 9-16 8-9 40.2% 42.7% 0 1.91 140
161 Mercer SC 102.2
173
101.3
164
.5254 13-9 11-6 68.4% 62.3% 19 2.32 39
213 Pacific WCC 99.0
251
102.3
184
.4057 4-12 3-10 23.6% 20.7% 12.1 2.33 187
338 North Alabama ASun 92.6
339
108.8
308
.1359 4-13 4-11 44.5% 38.6% 0 1.72 9
169 Tarleton St. WAC 101.1
206
100.7
152
.5103 8-7 7-5 78.7% 68.5% 0 2.21 31
260 Cal Poly BW 100.5
222
107.3
281
.3190 7-14 6-10 45.8% 50.0% 2.3 1.85 266
65 VCU A10 103.1
146
92.8
21
.7714 15-8 9-5 49.4% 45.3% 39 1.95 83
199 VMI SC 103.0
148
105.5
247
.4323 10-10 8-6 72.7% 63.3% 0 1.87 0
178 Valparaiso MVC 102.9
152
103.4
206
.4865 10-15 7-11 35.0% 32.0% 12.8 1.91 128
218 Lipscomb ASun 102.1
174
106.1
259
.3920 11-11 8-7 64.3% 59.6% 2.5 1.95 79
209 Milwaukee Horz 100.9
213
104.1
220
.4097 10-9 9-8 36.6% 36.0% 30.4 1.59 117
153 Pepperdine WCC 102.4
169
100.4
147
.5543 8-12 4-9 48.0% 37.3% 17.7 2.38 134
145 Wofford SC 103.5
136
101.0
157
.5717 13-8 11-6 68.3% 60.2% 4.2 1.63 38
203 Ball St. MAC 98.8
255
101.7
171
.4179 9-13 7-10 51.2% 37.8% 9.3 2.21 124
54 San Francisco WCC 107.6
53
95.5
61
.7975 14-9 8-5 75.8% 80.6% 2.6 2.55 210
205 La Salle A10 100.5
221
103.6
210
.4136 7-16 5-12 69.5% 69.6% 23.6 1.82 65
194 South Alabama SB 106.1
95
108.1
294
.4470 11-11 9-8 15.5% 8.5% 31.9 2.62 597
159 Saint Peter's MAAC 97.1
284
95.9
67
.5336 14-8 12-5 71.4% 69.1% 0 1.89 50
295 Montana St. BSky 97.5
277
107.9
291
.2380 7-11 6-8 44.7% 38.2% 13.6 1.74 71
35 BYU WCC 109.6
34
95.0
54
.8389 15-8 8-5 62.0% 58.2% 39.6 2.26 53
21 Florida SEC 110.1
30
93.4
31
.8692 13-8 10-6 43.1% 44.8% 45.6 2.36 208
49 Oklahoma St. B12 105.8
100
93.5
32
.8071 13-12 9-9 80.5% 74.0% 62.8 1.94 69
289 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 101.9
182
111.8
347
.2555 9-15 8-10 45.4% 40.4% 0 1.3 51
114 Toledo MAC 106.0
97
100.5
148
.6482 18-9 13-6 59.2% 54.6% 2.4 2.06 88
122 Davidson A10 106.7
82
101.9
177
.6282 9-9 5-6 63.5% 60.3% 40.1 2.08 47
3 Ohio St. B10 116.4
2
93.5
33
.9256 19-7 14-6 78.9% 81.6% 67.5 2.58 94
18 Auburn SEC 110.2
28
93.0
24
.8763 18-9 12-6 59.8% 55.4% 67.4 1.36 231
167 Appalachian St. SB 101.6
189
101.1
161
.5138 11-9 9-6 92.0% 91.9% 9.3 2.36 0
317 McNeese St. Slnd 97.7
272
110.5
329
.1953 8-9 7-7 40.1% 25.7% 10.1 2.32 292
52 Colorado P12 106.5
86
94.3
43
.8019 15-12 10-10 43.4% 39.2% 55.4 1.61 46
202 Morgan St. MEAC 104.5
117
107.5
284
.4181 8-6 7-3 66.1% 63.5% 10.4 2.8 93
185 Hofstra CAA 103.9
133
105.3
243
.4609 10-11 7-7 70.3% 72.8% 6.1 2.39 260
152 Indiana St. MVC 101.0
209
99.1
123
.5543 10-12 8-10 40.1% 41.5% 12.2 1.64 104
23 Florida St. ACC 108.7
41
92.6
17
.8635 14-6 10-5 30.1% 22.4% 56 1.71 155
120 Old Dominion CUSA 104.3
124
99.4
127
.6351 12-9 9-7 43.4% 39.7% 30.1 1.99 113
45 Colorado St. MWC 110.3
24
97.0
84
.8150 14-7 12-6 93.4% 95.1% 20.8 2.1 84
170 Jacksonville St. ASun 101.1
205
100.8
154
.5080 13-10 11-8 58.9% 54.0% 8.2 2.38 94
192 Kent St. MAC 100.7
216
102.5
188
.4505 10-12 9-10 41.7% 34.9% 1.7 2.18 200
109 Massachusetts A10 106.7
80
100.6
150
.6638 7-6 6-4 53.8% 52.4% 17 2.08 244
174 Bradley MVC 101.6
186
101.8
174
.4966 10-15 7-11 53.2% 44.6% 4.7 1.94 44
275 Western Michigan MAC 99.0
249
107.4
282
.2829 7-13 5-11 49.3% 46.6% 3.3 2.27 164
51 Stanford P12 104.4
122
92.4
14
.8031 14-12 10-10 70.6% 60.2% 75.8 1.63 0
274 North Florida ASun 100.4
224
108.9
309
.2831 7-13 5-7 81.4% 84.1% 0 1.75 30
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
325 Southeastern Louisiana Slnd 95.8
312
109.2
313
.1809 8-16 7-9 49.2% 52.2% -0 2.28 161
14 Texas B12 110.9
20
91.9
8
.8969 17-7 11-6 37.8% 38.8% 78.7 2.3 301
5 Kansas B12 114.1
8
92.1
12
.9210 19-7 13-5 71.0% 72.0% 74.3 2.36 221
26 Louisville ACC 111.2
19
95.0
55
.8588 13-7 8-6 53.9% 45.4% 63.3 1.93 250
63 Nevada MWC 107.3
61
96.0
68
.7819 15-8 11-6 76.4% 81.7% 27.5 2.09 174
123 South Dakota St. Sum 107.5
55
102.9
195
.6238 13-7 9-3 88.3% 79.1% 3.9 2.32 0
221 Prairie View A&M SWAC 96.4
300
100.3
145
.3861 12-6 10-3 59.6% 57.4% 8.8 2.71 126
323 Green Bay Horz 97.0
285
110.4
327
.1833 7-17 6-14 42.5% 31.6% 1.4 1.29 78
208 Gardner Webb BSth 101.7
185
104.9
236
.4107 13-12 11-9 60.5% 54.9% 7.3 1.53 30
139 Navy Pat 104.4
123
101.4
166
.5824 12-5 10-3 82.0% 79.2% 0 2.31 0
311 New Orleans Slnd 96.4
301
108.4
301
.2057 10-12 9-6 27.6% 22.3% 2.9 2.4 241
321 Coppin St. MEAC 94.0
326
106.9
273
.1846 6-15 5-7 37.1% 26.3% 0 1.8 105
22 Illinois B10 109.9
32
93.3
30
.8669 15-11 11-9 50.2% 40.9% 59.1 2.02 92
215 NJIT AE 100.1
233
103.8
214
.3947 9-9 9-7 57.6% 50.8% 0 2.53 100
75 Arizona St. P12 107.2
66
96.8
82
.7633 13-11 9-9 24.6% 19.2% 57.8 1.94 272
301 Grambling St. SWAC 96.4
299
107.0
275
.2309 9-12 8-7 43.5% 42.3% 4 2.46 137
261 Bellarmine ASun 101.4
196
108.5
303
.3149 7-10 6-7 56.2% 53.5% 0 2.27 0
157 Bryant NEC 106.2
90
104.8
234
.5376 13-7 12-4 77.4% 73.7% 8.4 2.63 121
306 Incarnate Word Slnd 100.4
226
112.4
352
.2139 9-9 8-6 67.0% 53.4% 0 1.89 148
314 St. Francis PA NEC 94.8
323
107.1
277
.1979 8-14 7-11 77.7% 69.5% 0 1.76 0
47 Providence BE 107.5
54
94.9
53
.8077 13-12 10-9 66.2% 61.8% 52.8 2.54 107
197 Rider MAAC 104.5
118
106.9
272
.4358 10-11 9-9 65.9% 64.3% 4.4 2.41 235
267 Kennesaw St. ASun 96.9
289
104.1
219
.3036 9-11 7-8 94.1% 94.1% 19.1 1.96 82
293 USC Upstate BSth 97.7
273
107.8
290
.2423 7-14 6-10 61.7% 44.9% 13.2 2.35 102
349 North Carolina Central MEAC 91.8
346
111.4
342
.0976 3-9 3-5 18.7% 14.3% 6.3 2.32 184
25 North Carolina ACC 109.9
31
93.7
37
.8625 16-9 9-7 65.2% 63.1% 87.8 1.57 60
243 Towson CAA 102.8
158
108.6
305
.3461 7-10 6-6 52.3% 49.1% 5.7 2.39 282
84 Cincinnati Amer 103.2
143
94.4
45
.7367 11-9 8-7 58.4% 49.6% 36.6 2.23 205
302 Sacramento St. BSky 97.7
270
109.0
311
.2220 5-12 5-9 47.4% 29.4% 2.3 2.47 24
180 Weber St. BSky 105.2
110
105.9
254
.4807 11-9 10-6 52.2% 48.9% 10.5 2.29 182
339 North Dakota Sum 93.5
333
110.0
322
.1342 4-21 4-12 41.8% 38.1% 0 1.9 31
354 Chicago St. WAC 91.9
344
114.7
358
.0725 1-8 0-0 56.8% 47.6% 0 2.11 30
315 Niagara MAAC 97.2
282
109.8
321
.1979 5-13 5-11 38.2% 40.7% 3.8 2.33 81
343 Idaho BSky 94.8
322
112.6
353
.1225 5-18 5-15 32.0% 29.2% 0 2.34 211
308 Cal St. Bakersfield BW 96.2
307
107.7
288
.2133 6-17 5-13 27.4% 25.1% 16.4 2.35 57
141 South Dakota Sum 107.2
65
104.3
223
.5796 14-8 11-4 81.6% 68.2% 0 2.27 65
13 Villanova BE 115.1
4
95.2
57
.8983 15-6 11-4 75.1% 72.2% 83.5 2.03 0
266 San Jose St. MWC 102.1
176
109.5
317
.3072 4-15 4-13 57.2% 45.2% 28.5 1.96 272
227 Detroit Horz 106.5
84
111.1
339
.3813 10-10 9-7 38.9% 44.2% 19 2.5 188
198 Northern Colorado BSky 101.2
202
103.6
209
.4341 10-8 9-6 88.4% 90.4% 7 2.69 75
257 Radford BSth 99.2
245
105.8
253
.3215 10-13 9-9 62.1% 58.1% 12.8 2.21 111
335 Nebraska Omaha Sum 92.8
337
107.9
292
.1499 5-19 4-10 62.6% 52.3% 8.4 2.41 80
283 Nicholls St. Slnd 98.1
266
107.2
279
.2634 10-12 9-7 25.3% 24.2% 0 2.57 231
117 South Carolina SEC 101.6
190
96.6
77
.6407 8-12 6-10 40.3% 40.3% 33.4 2.29 210
9 Alabama SEC 112.6
11
91.8
7
.9126 20-7 13-5 56.5% 56.6% 73 1.45 112
95 UC Irvine BW 102.7
162
95.1
56
.7081 15-7 12-4 79.3% 80.3% 3.3 1.64 25
7 Purdue B10 113.2
9
92.0
10
.9160 19-8 13-7 91.3% 93.5% 61.3 1.84 0
46 Wichita St. Amer 107.3
63
94.6
48
.8093 10-7 7-6 64.2% 66.1% 25 2.19 81
234 Portland St. BSky 101.3
198
106.1
258
.3706 8-9 7-7 42.9% 27.6% 0 2.66 303
291 Florida A&M SWAC 93.9
329
103.3
204
.2496 8-11 7-5 52.1% 52.8% 7 1.89 82
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
33 USC P12 108.2
47
93.1
25
.8495 17-10 12-8 53.4% 50.7% 65.1 2.06 51
219 UMKC Sum 99.0
248
103.0
197
.3892 9-10 8-6 51.0% 33.3% 4.6 1.92 115
28 Indiana B10 109.6
35
94.0
39
.8539 15-12 10-10 64.7% 65.1% 74.2 2.15 191
255 Tennessee Tech OVC 101.5
194
108.3
299
.3219 10-17 8-12 74.3% 69.4% 17.4 2.2 233
211 UT Arlington SB 98.0
267
101.3
165
.4066 11-11 9-8 51.5% 33.0% 0 2.3 104
290 Southern SWAC 96.9
288
106.5
267
.2506 9-9 8-6 44.7% 34.6% 7.2 2.53 156
296 Maine AE 93.1
335
103.0
198
.2370 2-7 2-6 70.6% 68.1% 0 1.78 73
66 Utah St. MWC 104.2
125
93.9
38
.7697 16-8 12-7 44.6% 39.9% 31.2 2.01 105
104 Western Kentucky CUSA 104.4
121
98.1
104
.6723 14-10 10-4 35.7% 31.7% 47.4 2.3 198
137 Boston College ACC 103.2
144
100.2
143
.5837 6-13 4-9 35.0% 29.9% 37.8 2.02 119
305 Northern Arizona BSky 98.5
261
110.2
326
.2141 6-14 5-9 68.7% 58.4% 14.1 1.97 169
256 Long Beach St. BW 97.9
269
104.5
227
.3218 6-10 5-7 46.5% 39.5% 7.7 1.91 173
41 Seton Hall BE 108.2
46
94.7
50
.8222 14-11 10-9 54.5% 48.0% 67.8 2.44 147
2 UCLA P12 115.8
3
92.6
18
.9289 19-6 15-4 79.5% 74.9% 80.7 2.04 55
184 Utah Valley WAC 101.5
192
102.7
192
.4675 10-9 8-5 69.8% 64.1% 19.1 2.6 92
154 UNLV MWC 105.4
108
103.5
207
.5523 10-13 8-10 32.0% 28.6% 37.8 2.69 340
129 Missouri SEC 101.7
183
97.9
99
.6091 8-15 5-11 19.7% 19.2% 42.4 1.59 174
48 Clemson ACC 105.2
111
92.9
22
.8073 12-10 8-8 51.2% 49.1% 51.9 2.21 106
73 Penn St. B10 106.8
77
96.4
73
.7661 10-14 8-12 45.4% 46.5% 19.8 2.62 110
238 Stetson ASun 101.1
208
106.2
261
.3611 9-11 8-8 80.9% 79.2% 0 1.41 0
150 Sam Houston St. WAC 103.5
138
101.2
163
.5625 15-8 13-3 64.6% 50.9% 17.3 2.45 121
189 North Dakota St. Sum 99.5
240
101.1
160
.4542 12-12 10-6 79.2% 73.8% 1.6 2.07 32
71 Boise St. MWC 106.7
81
96.2
70
.7668 15-9 13-7 72.9% 67.2% 43.5 2.65 0
93 Washington P12 107.0
72
98.7
114
.7158 11-14 8-12 38.1% 28.4% 54.1 2.47 357
27 Notre Dame ACC 114.5
7
98.1
103
.8559 14-10 11-7 79.7% 81.8% 72.4 2.65 147
42 Richmond A10 110.1
29
96.5
74
.8215 13-6 8-3 86.1% 81.7% 18.4 2.72 78
336 Houston Baptist Slnd 95.8
311
112.3
351
.1386 6-16 6-9 63.0% 60.7% 0 1.82 41
87 Rhode Island A10 104.9
113
96.2
71
.7286 14-10 10-7 79.6% 75.1% 37.9 2.53 77
195 Mount St. Mary's NEC 99.8
238
101.8
175
.4429 13-9 12-6 79.3% 71.0% 0.4 2.25 92
183 San Diego WCC 100.6
219
101.5
169
.4737 4-9 3-6 29.4% 29.6% 18.7 2.45 216
300 UC San Diego BW 99.8
239
110.7
332
.2315 3-11 3-9 46.8% 45.8% 10.7 1.96 86
191 Jackson St. SWAC 96.4
298
98.0
102
.4528 10-6 9-2 38.9% 31.4% 0 2.58 231
110 UC Santa Barbara BW 107.1
68
101.0
158
.6632 13-8 12-6 50.1% 52.8% 47.6 2.34 77
32 West Virginia B12 111.2
18
95.6
62
.8504 16-10 10-7 48.8% 42.4% 29 2.2 97
111 Northeastern CAA 102.5
164
96.8
81
.6603 10-7 7-3 81.4% 71.2% 7.1 2.2 223
344 Northwestern St. Slnd 93.7
330
111.7
346
.1163 7-19 6-10 35.8% 38.0% -0 1.7 0
272 UMass Lowell AE 99.8
236
108.2
296
.2846 6-13 6-9 75.3% 64.6% 6.2 2.2 125
250 Saint Joseph's A10 98.8
253
105.0
238
.3324 4-14 3-9 73.0% 65.6% 31.2 2.13 50
31 San Diego St. MWC 107.4
58
92.3
13
.8510 17-6 13-4 61.0% 57.0% 27.7 2.6 183
131 Montana BSky 103.2
142
99.5
129
.6034 14-8 13-5 89.6% 85.6% 0 1.82 45
282 Texas Southern SWAC 97.6
275
106.7
269
.2639 10-11 9-5 46.2% 45.1% 5.4 2.69 171
358 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 80.1
358
113.2
355
.0183 1-24 1-15 33.2% 27.6% -0 2.2 13
253 Sacred Heart NEC 101.7
184
108.4
300
.3250 9-8 9-7 83.3% 85.8% -0 1.7 21
126 Morehead St. OVC 105.6
105
101.5
167
.6126 15-10 14-6 56.3% 57.3% 0 2.25 220
346 Mississippi Valley St. SWAC 93.9
328
113.2
356
.1044 6-19 6-11 68.2% 62.5% 0 2.13 71
329 Central Arkansas ASun 96.7
293
111.0
337
.1697 7-16 6-10 53.6% 42.0% 7.3 2.2 91
83 Northern Iowa MVC 108.4
45
99.0
120
.7403 13-9 12-6 99.0% 98.7% 14 2.21 0
29 Kentucky SEC 111.3
17
95.5
60
.8530 13-11 9-8 30.3% 25.4% 79.4 1.55 280
190 Oakland Horz 104.5
119
106.2
260
.4537 12-15 11-9 61.4% 60.7% 13.5 2.05 98
162 Oral Roberts Sum 106.1
92
105.3
242
.5228 11-9 10-5 66.8% 58.9% 16.7 2 131
143 Cleveland St. Horz 107.6
52
104.9
237
.5727 14-9 13-7 70.9% 73.8% 0 2.85 154
327 Alcorn St. SWAC 95.7
313
109.8
320
.1721 6-12 6-7 41.4% 38.3% 8.9 2.41 207
347 Wagner NEC 91.8
347
110.8
334
.1022 4-15 4-14 25.8% 20.9% 0 1.7 124
278 Eastern Washington BSky 98.3
263
106.8
271
.2789 7-12 7-8 19.9% 14.9% 0 1.83 121
166 UTEP CUSA 99.4
242
98.8
116
.5174 8-12 8-8 75.6% 71.6% 32 2.36 38
121 Akron MAC 104.5
120
99.7
132
.6315 12-8 12-7 61.4% 51.4% 24.2 2.44 126
60 UCF Amer 106.2
91
94.7
49
.7882 11-10 10-8 83.0% 83.2% 51.4 2.08 41
341 Eastern Michigan MAC 91.7
348
108.1
295
.1309 3-12 3-11 23.1% 21.2% 0 1.88 116

Compiled by Bart Torvik from sacred data and secret formulas.