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2022 T-Rank College Basketball Projections

Note: Projected records based on last year's schedules
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Rec Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
328 Dartmouth Ivy 91.1
352
103.9
215
.1800 0-0 0-0 29.9% 23.3% 4 1.14 60
351 Columbia Ivy 90.7
355
108.8
309
.1099 0-0 0-0 26.7% 18.8% 5.8 0.85 30
217 Harvard Ivy 97.9
280
101.1
159
.4103 0-0 0-0 30.7% 36.4% 49.4 1.01 0
344 Cornell Ivy 93.0
340
110.2
329
.1249 0-0 0-0 38.5% 27.9% -0 0.87 31
154 Yale Ivy 102.3
166
100.8
154
.5430 0-0 0-0 52.7% 50.4% 3.1 1.63 31
347 Bethune Cookman SWAC 91.8
347
109.2
317
.1201 0-0 0-0 9.2% 7.0% 13.5 2.17 298
213 Princeton Ivy 98.8
263
101.7
173
.4165 0-0 0-0 61.4% 56.8% 14 1.26 0
337 St. Thomas Sum 95.4
321
110.9
340
.1495 0-0 0-0 70.0% 70.0% 7.9 2.23 321
185 Penn Ivy 96.7
308
97.2
86
.4839 0-0 0-0 35.4% 33.8% 0 1.5 155
308 Brown Ivy 90.7
354
101.2
162
.2205 0-0 0-0 38.1% 23.9% 0.6 1.14 61
358 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 85.7
358
111.7
345
.0456 0-0 0-0 34.0% 35.4% 0 1.17 97
356 Chicago St. WAC 91.9
346
114.4
357
.0742 1-8 0-0 64.8% 56.2% 0 2.52 140
309 Howard MEAC 99.9
237
111.6
344
.2195 2-2 0-0 87.0% 86.3% 7.6 2.4 302
357 Tennessee Martin OVC 90.2
357
114.9
358
.0576 2-21 2-18 0.0% 0.0% 6 1.98 264
285 Maine AE 94.7
329
102.9
197
.2773 3-6 2-6 82.0% 79.6% 0 1.76 105
335 Bucknell Pat 93.6
336
108.1
297
.1606 3-7 3-7 53.1% 47.1% 3.9 1.68 0
298 UC San Diego BW 99.9
236
110.3
331
.2435 3-11 3-9 60.4% 56.1% 10.3 2.11 86
353 South Carolina St. MEAC 91.8
348
111.9
348
.0924 3-15 2-6 58.2% 53.2% 0 1.75 90
294 Portland WCC 102.3
170
112.6
352
.2496 3-14 2-9 1.2% 0.8% 12 1.85 358
348 North Carolina Central MEAC 92.5
343
110.1
327
.1192 3-9 3-5 23.4% 17.5% 5.2 2.42 360
343 IUPUI Horz 92.7
342
109.3
318
.1304 3-14 3-13 51.5% 37.9% 1.8 2.37 57
336 UT Rio Grande Valley WAC 90.7
356
104.9
238
.1574 4-9 2-4 57.6% 45.9% 7.7 2.64 161
268 Fordham A10 94.7
326
101.5
167
.3128 4-9 4-9 50.8% 46.3% 3 2.52 328
310 William & Mary CAA 93.7
332
104.8
236
.2173 4-11 2-8 83.9% 79.2% 0 2.02 34
339 Holy Cross Pat 94.7
327
110.8
338
.1410 4-12 4-12 59.0% 56.5% 0 1.37 23
279 American Pat 96.2
314
103.7
211
.2984 4-5 4-5 81.5% 75.5% 0 2.26 60
349 Nebraska Omaha Sum 91.5
349
109.0
314
.1180 4-20 3-11 62.6% 52.3% 8.4 2.37 112
352 Idaho BSky 93.7
334
112.8
355
.1052 4-19 4-16 38.9% 32.9% 0 2.41 200
355 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 91.0
353
112.2
350
.0825 4-21 4-12 36.6% 28.3% 5.6 2.15 184
325 Cal St. Northridge BW 98.3
275
111.7
346
.1860 4-16 3-11 61.6% 46.8% 0 2.26 0
261 Canisius MAAC 99.8
241
106.4
267
.3245 4-8 4-8 83.2% 78.7% -0 2.22 33
341 Western Carolina SC 93.7
335
110.1
328
.1342 4-20 3-14 28.0% 19.0% 6 1.78 210
300 Eastern Michigan MAC 95.6
318
105.9
258
.2369 4-11 4-10 38.9% 30.3% 5.5 2.27 213
248 South Florida Amer 95.6
319
100.6
150
.3561 4-15 3-11 25.2% 28.0% 31.1 1.78 235
159 San Diego WCC 102.0
175
101.0
158
.5278 4-9 3-6 42.6% 43.3% 24.2 2.68 216
270 San Jose St. MWC 102.4
164
109.7
324
.3117 4-15 4-13 69.5% 63.4% 33.9 2.08 318
331 Delaware St. MEAC 98.5
268
112.6
353
.1768 4-11 4-6 75.5% 71.2% 9.2 2.11 0
234 Saint Joseph's A10 100.3
230
104.4
228
.3862 4-14 3-9 90.5% 85.7% 23.2 2.08 27
254 New Mexico MWC 98.2
276
104.0
217
.3407 4-15 4-13 49.0% 46.9% 37.4 1.7 342
286 Long Beach St. BW 97.0
300
105.5
250
.2754 5-11 4-8 53.5% 44.8% 9.8 2.01 109
350 Texas A&M Corpus Chris Slnd 91.2
351
109.1
315
.1131 5-16 4-11 40.4% 35.3% 3 1.98 191
299 Samford SC 97.4
288
107.8
291
.2387 5-11 3-8 62.8% 54.0% 5 1.96 175
332 Northern Arizona BSky 97.0
298
111.0
342
.1747 5-15 4-10 66.7% 56.8% 14.1 1.97 169
340 Central Connecticut NEC 94.6
330
110.9
339
.1384 5-16 4-14 55.3% 52.0% 0 2.34 31
354 Mississippi Valley St. SWAC 93.1
339
113.6
356
.0912 5-20 5-12 68.2% 62.5% 0 2.07 92
316 Army Pat 91.3
350
103.0
200
.1994 5-13 4-10 49.7% 51.5% 0 1.36 40
342 Alcorn St. SWAC 93.7
333
110.3
332
.1325 5-13 5-8 32.1% 27.9% 8.9 2.39 285
320 North Alabama ASun 94.7
328
107.1
280
.1960 5-12 5-10 57.4% 50.7% 0 1.93 30
192 Iowa St. B12 100.8
218
102.1
180
.4634 5-18 3-15 40.7% 33.2% 44.3 2.41 393
314 Northern Illinois MAC 95.0
324
106.8
275
.2057 5-14 3-11 66.8% 60.8% 13 2.32 180
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
345 Houston Baptist Slnd 94.8
325
112.6
351
.1218 6-16 5-10 71.4% 68.1% -0 1.92 69
307 North Florida ASun 98.3
273
109.5
320
.2251 6-14 4-8 81.4% 84.1% -0 1.75 60
327 Little Rock SB 92.9
341
105.8
257
.1821 6-18 4-14 58.3% 52.8% 0 2.15 97
311 Lafayette Pat 98.7
264
110.4
333
.2161 6-8 6-8 59.7% 53.9% 5.2 1.94 0
291 Western Michigan MAC 98.6
267
108.0
295
.2581 6-14 5-11 45.0% 42.0% 3.4 2.32 164
324 North Dakota Sum 95.7
317
108.7
308
.1879 6-19 5-11 52.0% 45.6% 0 2.09 92
259 George Washington A10 101.9
182
108.4
303
.3276 6-9 2-6 41.7% 41.0% 42.5 2.26 278
306 Binghamton AE 98.5
270
109.5
321
.2282 6-11 5-9 78.6% 72.9% 0.9 2.16 146
302 Central Michigan MAC 99.1
257
109.7
323
.2366 6-14 5-11 61.7% 51.4% 2.4 2.63 197
322 Coppin St. MEAC 93.6
338
106.1
262
.1904 6-15 5-7 33.4% 24.7% 0 1.62 227
280 UNC Wilmington CAA 102.3
171
110.2
330
.2967 6-9 3-4 66.9% 68.3% 9.9 2.51 166
346 Alabama St. SWAC 92.2
344
109.6
322
.1205 6-12 6-12 60.6% 53.9% 14.4 2.22 136
297 Eastern Washington BSky 97.0
297
107.0
278
.2455 6-13 6-9 19.9% 14.9% 0 1.88 173
142 Boston College ACC 102.8
155
100.4
146
.5649 6-13 4-9 41.3% 33.9% 33.7 1.97 119
284 UMass Lowell AE 99.7
245
108.3
301
.2784 6-13 6-9 82.0% 72.8% 4.9 2.3 158
288 Cal Poly BW 99.3
251
108.3
300
.2688 6-15 5-11 45.8% 50.0% 2.3 1.85 266
266 Sacramento St. BSky 101.3
205
108.2
299
.3179 6-11 6-8 64.5% 59.7% 1.8 2.9 55
330 Denver Sum 97.1
294
111.0
341
.1775 6-14 4-10 40.2% 30.2% 5.7 2.57 203
315 USC Upstate BSth 97.0
299
109.4
319
.2006 6-15 5-11 61.7% 44.9% 13.1 2.26 135
287 College of Charleston CAA 100.1
233
109.1
316
.2700 6-10 4-6 29.8% 26.4% 13 2.18 396
326 Central Arkansas ASun 97.3
292
110.8
337
.1834 6-17 6-10 71.2% 60.1% 8.3 2.52 91
329 Green Bay Horz 96.9
301
110.6
335
.1797 6-18 6-14 42.2% 31.1% 1.1 1.2 134
317 Alabama A&M SWAC 92.0
345
103.8
214
.1990 6-9 6-7 92.1% 92.8% -0 1.74 0
127 Pacific WCC 102.7
156
99.4
128
.5929 7-9 5-8 57.1% 54.3% 12.5 2.41 174
283 FIU CUSA 96.6
311
104.6
231
.2854 7-15 4-13 64.3% 47.9% 11.2 2.34 188
263 Robert Morris Horz 105.0
97
112.0
349
.3241 7-10 6-9 28.2% 25.5% 7.8 2.23 547
334 McNeese St. Slnd 96.9
303
111.2
343
.1705 7-10 6-8 40.1% 25.7% 10.1 2.32 292
205 Elon CAA 101.9
184
104.1
220
.4373 7-7 5-6 72.0% 67.3% 7.7 2.03 90
271 Air Force MWC 99.4
248
106.6
271
.3085 7-17 5-15 52.0% 50.6% 0 0.86 0
184 Pepperdine WCC 101.1
208
101.6
170
.4850 7-13 4-9 44.0% 35.1% 21.6 2.26 134
190 Tarleton St. WAC 99.2
253
100.3
144
.4686 7-8 6-6 85.8% 81.6% 0 1.89 66
338 Northwestern St. Slnd 94.5
331
110.5
334
.1413 7-19 6-10 43.1% 45.8% 0 1.62 85
129 Temple Amer 100.9
215
97.7
95
.5897 7-9 6-9 64.9% 70.5% 32.9 1.76 0
240 La Salle A10 99.5
247
104.3
226
.3682 7-16 5-12 69.5% 69.6% 23.5 1.79 65
274 Bellarmine ASun 101.3
202
108.8
310
.3057 7-10 6-7 56.2% 53.5% 0 1.99 0
272 Loyola MD Pat 98.0
279
105.1
242
.3084 7-7 7-7 59.5% 50.3% 20.9 1.91 70
303 Charleston Southern BSth 96.9
304
107.3
283
.2365 7-13 6-11 59.2% 54.9% 0 2.18 166
151 Missouri SEC 100.5
226
98.8
116
.5488 7-16 4-12 19.7% 19.2% 42.4 1.59 174
258 Towson CAA 102.1
174
108.7
307
.3277 7-10 6-6 66.0% 57.5% 3.2 2.57 282
220 Cal St. Fullerton BW 104.4
119
107.9
293
.4067 7-7 7-7 76.8% 73.7% 10.3 2.19 154
255 Niagara MAAC 101.9
185
107.9
294
.3389 7-11 7-9 77.0% 73.5% 6.7 2.89 81
212 Georgia SEC 100.2
231
103.2
202
.4174 7-17 4-14 21.4% 12.6% 28.1 1.79 191
243 Illinois St. MVC 96.9
302
101.6
171
.3658 7-16 5-13 55.6% 42.3% 9.1 1.67 186
122 Massachusetts A10 105.4
91
101.5
169
.6045 7-6 6-4 53.8% 52.4% 17 2.08 244
333 Hampton BSth 95.1
323
109.0
313
.1720 7-16 6-12 68.4% 58.3% 12.1 2.69 204
238 Albany AE 99.7
246
104.3
225
.3729 7-7 6-6 45.4% 40.7% 15.2 2.7 216
321 SIU Edwardsville OVC 96.0
316
108.6
306
.1957 7-17 6-13 71.1% 61.0% 1.9 2.28 80
130 South Carolina SEC 100.0
235
97.0
81
.5860 7-13 6-10 40.3% 40.3% 33.1 2.32 237
275 The Citadel SC 101.4
201
108.9
312
.3054 7-12 6-10 79.7% 74.9% 1.8 2.07 0
230 Middle Tennessee CUSA 101.0
209
104.9
239
.3923 7-14 5-11 66.2% 62.2% 0.7 2.63 219
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
318 Incarnate Word Slnd 99.9
239
112.7
354
.1983 7-11 7-7 79.6% 67.1% 0 2.05 125
312 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 99.8
240
111.9
347
.2130 7-17 6-12 45.4% 40.4% 0 1.12 51
172 Duquesne A10 99.0
259
98.7
112
.5096 8-8 6-8 42.4% 29.0% 14.1 1.78 216
157 Pittsburgh ACC 100.5
227
99.5
129
.5289 8-13 4-12 48.1% 36.7% 27.9 1.98 151
175 East Carolina Amer 101.5
197
101.3
164
.5048 8-9 4-8 46.8% 45.1% 20.8 2.46 193
265 Dixie St. WAC 98.1
278
104.6
233
.3231 8-11 5-9 81.7% 82.3% 2.6 2.29 93
304 Youngstown St. Horz 98.9
261
109.9
325
.2310 8-13 7-13 69.9% 59.7% 6.8 1.98 134
269 Sacred Heart NEC 101.3
204
108.5
305
.3119 8-9 8-8 96.1% 96.3% -0 1.89 21
293 Kennesaw St. ASun 96.4
312
106.0
261
.2512 8-12 7-8 94.1% 94.1% 22.4 2.02 121
264 UMBC AE 98.3
272
104.8
237
.3237 8-11 6-8 60.7% 54.0% 9.7 2.56 181
260 Manhattan MAAC 96.7
309
102.9
198
.3265 8-11 7-11 90.0% 89.2% 19 2.97 160
257 NJIT AE 99.0
260
105.2
244
.3315 8-10 7-9 57.6% 50.8% 0 2.53 131
232 UC Davis BW 99.2
252
103.2
203
.3891 8-7 7-5 76.0% 76.4% 0 2.11 44
132 Texas A&M SEC 102.0
178
99.0
120
.5846 8-9 3-7 44.1% 43.7% 47.1 1.3 183
251 Ball St. MAC 97.4
289
102.8
196
.3485 8-14 6-11 51.2% 37.8% 9.3 2.21 124
108 New Mexico St. WAC 107.2
59
101.7
175
.6459 8-5 7-5 63.4% 62.2% 16.7 2.52 257
295 Jacksonville ASun 98.5
269
108.5
304
.2478 8-14 5-9 28.3% 24.3% 11.7 2.35 302
319 Southeastern Louisiana Slnd 97.3
293
109.9
326
.1969 8-16 7-9 68.1% 74.7% 6.1 2.57 195
95 DePaul BE 104.4
120
97.2
85
.6944 8-9 6-9 33.7% 29.5% 42.2 1.88 211
301 Presbyterian BSth 96.7
310
107.0
279
.2367 8-12 7-10 97.4% 96.7% -0 1.86 26
256 Georgia Southern SB 95.5
320
101.4
166
.3349 8-13 7-9 78.2% 66.2% 10.9 2.54 63
323 Lamar WAC 93.6
337
106.3
265
.1891 8-17 7-10 52.5% 53.8% 0 1.9 109
215 Utah Valley WAC 100.3
229
103.4
206
.4136 8-11 7-6 69.8% 64.1% 19 2.49 122
162 UTEP CUSA 99.8
243
98.9
117
.5256 8-12 8-8 75.6% 71.6% 30.1 2.23 110
102 SMU Amer 105.5
87
99.1
123
.6707 8-9 5-8 42.6% 46.2% 29.1 2.71 217
278 North Carolina A&T BSth 99.1
256
106.8
274
.2985 8-11 5-3 45.1% 47.0% 21.6 2.55 223
140 Davidson A10 105.5
86
103.0
199
.5690 9-9 5-6 63.5% 60.3% 40 1.97 47
289 St. Francis PA NEC 97.6
284
106.6
272
.2640 9-13 8-10 90.0% 91.0% 0 2.15 0
239 Hofstra CAA 102.3
167
107.1
281
.3711 9-12 6-8 56.2% 57.1% 2.3 2.32 285
197 UTSA CUSA 103.2
144
105.0
240
.4519 9-11 7-9 74.1% 62.9% 18.1 2.07 131
249 Lehigh Pat 98.9
262
104.2
223
.3527 9-5 9-5 100.0% 100.0% 10.1 2.19 0
207 Morgan St. MEAC 104.7
109
107.4
285
.4269 9-5 7-3 77.8% 74.6% 13.6 2.92 163
110 Santa Clara WCC 104.3
122
99.2
125
.6396 9-7 4-5 80.1% 78.8% 17 2.63 117
133 Utah P12 103.4
140
100.4
145
.5838 9-14 6-13 27.3% 22.9% 39.8 2.24 267
187 UNLV MWC 104.8
105
105.4
249
.4814 9-14 7-11 32.0% 28.6% 36.9 2.6 360
296 Southern SWAC 97.1
295
106.9
277
.2475 9-9 8-6 51.5% 41.2% 7.1 2.52 145
204 Portland St. BSky 102.0
176
104.2
221
.4403 9-8 8-6 55.6% 41.2% -0 2.66 330
112 Georgetown BE 102.7
157
97.7
94
.6392 9-12 6-10 35.0% 29.8% 36 1.45 81
250 Idaho St. BSky 98.3
274
103.7
212
.3500 9-9 7-7 99.9% 99.7% 0 2.61 44
98 Wake Forest ACC 105.4
90
98.5
109
.6852 9-11 7-11 44.5% 42.3% 31.9 2.2 210
290 Radford BSth 97.7
282
106.8
276
.2625 9-14 8-10 62.1% 58.1% 12.8 2.21 140
313 Eastern Illinois OVC 97.1
296
108.9
311
.2107 9-18 7-13 50.9% 39.9% 1.3 2.06 199
194 Florida Gulf Coast ASun 103.9
132
105.5
251
.4555 9-5 6-3 80.3% 76.3% 14.4 2.82 402
246 New Hampshire AE 100.8
220
106.0
260
.3591 9-8 8-7 87.6% 86.4% 0 2.28 45
237 Northern Colorado BSky 99.9
238
104.4
227
.3755 9-9 8-7 83.5% 86.2% 7.6 2.55 107
181 James Madison CAA 104.7
106
105.1
243
.4890 9-7 6-4 73.4% 68.8% 2.2 2.17 226
169 Delaware CAA 101.7
189
101.3
163
.5112 9-4 6-3 96.4% 96.9% 10.5 2.28 96
208 Coastal Carolina SB 101.3
206
104.0
219
.4225 9-8 7-7 79.1% 70.1% 5.4 2.59 174
148 Minnesota B10 101.1
207
99.3
127
.5510 9-18 5-15 7.9% 5.8% 16.7 2.41 252
277 Tennessee St. OVC 100.6
223
108.4
302
.2985 9-13 8-12 28.8% 19.6% 22.8 2.16 403
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
218 UMKC Sum 100.0
234
103.3
204
.4084 9-10 8-6 59.7% 41.3% 4.5 2.14 144
214 Rider MAAC 104.1
126
107.2
282
.4151 9-12 8-10 75.8% 73.6% 4.4 2.51 235
225 Siena MAAC 100.8
217
104.5
229
.3976 9-9 9-9 46.8% 34.9% 8.6 2.56 278
273 Tennessee Tech OVC 100.8
216
108.2
298
.3074 9-18 8-12 84.8% 80.5% 15 2.26 201
305 Nicholls St. Slnd 96.8
305
107.6
288
.2285 9-13 8-8 25.3% 24.2% 0 2.43 257
222 Montana St. BSky 101.5
198
105.0
241
.4017 9-9 8-6 92.0% 90.6% 10.8 2.44 102
174 George Mason A10 100.9
213
100.7
152
.5053 9-10 6-8 37.6% 34.2% 28 2.27 201
267 Florida A&M SWAC 95.1
322
101.8
176
.3148 9-10 8-4 81.3% 79.3% 6.1 2.24 82
233 Hartford AE 98.7
265
102.8
194
.3862 9-10 8-6 66.8% 60.9% 12 2.66 135
158 Indiana St. MVC 100.5
225
99.5
131
.5288 9-13 8-10 40.1% 41.5% 10.2 1.55 129
241 Western Illinois Sum 101.5
193
106.4
268
.3677 9-11 7-7 79.7% 75.6% 4.2 2.94 202
292 Austin Peay OVC 98.4
271
108.1
296
.2528 10-14 8-12 52.9% 43.9% 7.3 2.19 108
188 Drexel CAA 104.7
108
105.6
253
.4745 10-6 5-4 72.9% 69.1% 7 2.61 118
228 South Alabama SB 103.5
138
107.5
286
.3929 10-12 8-9 32.3% 20.3% 26.4 2.58 519
191 Hawaii BW 102.9
152
104.2
222
.4635 10-8 10-8 58.6% 56.0% 11.2 2.86 282
199 Cal Baptist WAC 104.2
123
106.2
263
.4469 10-8 5-7 87.5% 81.6% 18.8 2.57 246
276 Norfolk St. MEAC 96.7
307
103.9
216
.3040 10-9 7-5 58.2% 49.0% 1.6 2.22 77
231 Stetson ASun 102.2
173
106.2
264
.3899 10-10 9-7 95.2% 96.3% 0 1.61 0
242 LIU Brooklyn NEC 96.8
306
101.5
168
.3664 10-8 10-8 64.0% 64.4% 10.1 2.15 54
80 Iona MAAC 107.9
47
99.0
119
.7309 10-3 7-2 87.6% 88.7% 24.5 2.53 248
201 Monmouth MAAC 101.5
194
103.5
208
.4446 10-9 9-9 61.6% 51.1% 0 2.46 95
198 Evansville MVC 104.5
117
106.4
266
.4484 10-14 7-11 89.6% 86.8% 0 2.6 34
210 VMI SC 102.7
159
105.6
252
.4197 10-10 7-7 72.7% 63.3% -0 1.61 0
281 Louisiana Monroe SB 97.5
286
105.2
245
.2929 10-15 7-11 63.8% 65.4% 0 2.78 182
186 Bradley MVC 101.4
199
102.0
179
.4825 10-15 7-11 53.2% 44.6% 3 1.8 114
138 Seattle WAC 103.8
133
101.1
160
.5756 10-7 5-4 95.7% 95.5% 0.5 2.33 92
114 Northeastern CAA 101.7
188
97.0
80
.6336 10-7 7-3 81.4% 71.2% 7.1 2.2 223
119 Florida Atlantic CUSA 101.9
181
97.9
96
.6145 10-7 7-5 78.5% 72.4% 10.3 2.22 116
118 Fresno St. MWC 105.2
94
100.9
156
.6163 10-10 10-10 89.9% 89.9% 30.3 2.21 110
252 St. Francis NY NEC 100.9
214
106.6
270
.3472 10-9 10-8 53.8% 53.4% 0 2.72 217
101 Tulsa Amer 102.9
150
96.7
76
.6715 10-11 7-10 49.9% 43.8% 35.4 2.29 209
203 Boston University Pat 103.3
143
105.3
247
.4427 10-6 10-6 92.7% 90.3% 7.1 2.76 44
235 Wagner NEC 103.0
149
107.6
287
.3783 10-9 10-8 82.6% 87.4% 0.8 2.5 124
244 UNC Asheville BSth 102.7
158
107.7
290
.3653 10-9 7-7 84.6% 82.0% 6.5 2.56 128
143 Grand Canyon WAC 104.6
115
102.3
186
.5625 10-8 7-5 47.5% 44.7% 30.9 2.35 252
183 Jackson St. SWAC 96.4
313
96.9
79
.4852 10-6 9-2 69.1% 58.7% 0 2.74 231
171 Valparaiso MVC 103.8
134
103.4
207
.5103 10-15 7-11 48.8% 43.1% 25.1 2.12 274
226 Troy SB 99.3
249
103.1
201
.3943 10-13 7-9 84.9% 81.8% -0 2.29 96
44 Wichita St. Amer 106.4
68
94.5
42
.7967 10-7 8-5 64.2% 66.1% 24.7 2.04 81
85 Colgate Pat 108.6
32
100.1
139
.7197 10-2 10-2 81.1% 73.3% -0 2.27 0
189 Appalachian St. SB 100.8
219
101.7
174
.4734 10-10 8-7 92.0% 91.9% 9.3 2.34 0
206 Milwaukee Horz 101.4
200
104.0
218
.4278 10-9 10-7 50.9% 50.7% 28.8 1.8 117
90 Cincinnati Amer 102.0
177
94.4
41
.7081 10-10 8-7 58.4% 49.6% 36.6 2.23 205
97 Washington P12 106.2
72
99.3
126
.6856 10-15 8-12 38.1% 28.4% 50.3 2.41 357
182 Rice CUSA 106.8
64
107.3
284
.4866 10-12 6-10 95.5% 93.7% 10.2 2.41 173
135 North Texas CUSA 99.2
255
96.4
71
.5810 10-11 7-7 49.1% 40.2% 14.5 2.31 124
224 Oakland Horz 103.1
148
106.7
273
.4011 10-17 9-11 61.4% 60.7% 13.3 1.88 98
179 Oral Roberts Sum 106.4
67
106.5
269
.4985 10-10 10-5 69.5% 65.3% 16.8 1.8 131
202 Detroit Horz 108.5
34
110.6
336
.4436 10-10 9-7 66.7% 74.5% 14.8 2.7 220
221 UT Arlington SB 97.5
285
100.8
153
.4061 10-12 9-8 54.5% 34.2% 0 2.13 138
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
73 Penn St. B10 106.2
71
96.8
78
.7443 11-13 8-12 45.4% 46.5% 18.7 2.47 149
124 Georgia St. SB 106.2
74
102.6
190
.5987 11-6 8-4 89.9% 92.0% 32 2.48 140
196 Bowling Green MAC 103.7
137
105.4
248
.4520 11-13 8-11 77.8% 71.8% 11.6 2.43 251
229 Fort Wayne Horz 103.7
136
107.7
289
.3927 11-10 10-10 77.4% 76.7% -0 2.61 146
282 New Orleans Slnd 99.7
244
107.8
292
.2901 11-11 9-6 57.3% 57.6% 1.6 2.64 224
200 Cal St. Bakersfield BW 101.6
192
103.6
209
.4448 11-12 9-9 68.4% 63.9% 17.4 2.43 97
81 Butler BE 104.7
110
96.0
64
.7309 11-12 9-11 91.9% 91.2% 44.8 2.28 53
177 Arkansas St. SB 104.8
104
104.7
234
.5022 11-8 9-6 100.0% 100.0% 7.3 2.29 88
89 Vanderbilt SEC 106.4
69
98.5
108
.7084 11-11 6-10 51.5% 55.3% 28.9 1.89 139
120 Tulane Amer 101.9
179
98.0
98
.6116 11-11 7-10 70.7% 67.0% 31.5 1.7 112
262 Grambling St. SWAC 98.1
277
104.6
232
.3243 11-10 9-6 57.6% 54.0% 4 2.6 184
245 High Point BSth 100.6
224
105.7
254
.3609 11-11 9-8 88.3% 89.5% 5 2.22 73
116 California P12 102.9
153
98.1
100
.6323 11-15 7-13 76.4% 68.6% 34 2.45 52
253 Texas Southern SWAC 99.0
258
104.7
235
.3441 11-10 10-4 72.6% 68.3% 14.8 2.97 223
211 Lipscomb ASun 102.8
154
105.8
256
.4193 11-11 8-7 74.0% 69.6% 1.6 2.1 79
236 Illinois Chicago Horz 97.8
281
102.1
182
.3777 11-10 9-7 78.3% 73.4% 4.3 3 252
216 Fairfield MAAC 99.2
254
102.3
184
.4133 11-12 9-9 99.3% 99.5% 1.3 2.47 0
105 Vermont AE 106.0
77
100.2
142
.6565 11-3 11-3 87.0% 83.3% 4 2.98 92
227 Mount St. Mary's NEC 98.7
266
102.4
187
.3941 11-11 10-8 79.3% 70.9% 0.4 2.25 92
180 Wofford SC 101.6
191
102.0
178
.4902 11-10 10-7 68.3% 60.2% 4.1 1.61 38
193 Marist MAAC 97.4
291
98.6
111
.4624 11-9 10-8 86.4% 84.6% 1.6 2.44 47
131 Akron MAC 102.9
151
99.9
136
.5847 11-9 11-8 72.5% 59.6% 26.6 2.57 126
94 Marquette BE 104.4
118
97.1
83
.6973 11-15 7-12 19.8% 17.3% 57.4 1.65 195
219 Quinnipiac MAAC 97.4
290
100.6
149
.4077 12-10 9-9 84.3% 87.3% 6.6 2.04 83
62 Rutgers B10 104.0
127
94.1
37
.7601 12-12 8-12 62.7% 55.4% 47.9 2.23 52
170 East Tennessee St. SC 100.3
228
99.9
137
.5107 12-9 9-6 67.2% 68.5% 3.1 2.44 65
52 Northwestern B10 104.9
101
94.2
39
.7750 12-11 9-11 73.8% 78.3% 52.1 1.96 26
79 Georgia Tech ACC 103.4
142
94.6
45
.7343 12-11 7-10 65.1% 59.4% 68.2 2.01 52
53 Clemson ACC 104.0
128
93.5
30
.7719 12-10 8-8 51.2% 49.1% 51.9 2.21 106
195 Bryant NEC 104.1
125
105.8
255
.4551 12-8 10-6 76.1% 73.2% 3.7 2.44 151
109 Old Dominion CUSA 105.0
99
99.8
135
.6411 12-9 9-7 52.9% 52.0% 25.6 2.41 197
149 Navy Pat 103.5
139
101.7
172
.5497 12-5 10-3 87.6% 82.3% 0 2.44 0
123 Southern Utah BSky 105.7
83
101.9
177
.6025 12-5 10-4 91.4% 92.1% 11.1 2.77 79
103 Oregon St. P12 105.5
85
99.2
124
.6704 12-13 8-12 61.5% 60.5% 21.9 2.44 118
70 Virginia ACC 102.3
172
93.0
22
.7476 12-11 8-9 36.9% 33.6% 59.3 1.77 137
178 Merrimack NEC 97.4
287
97.5
91
.4991 12-6 12-6 99.0% 99.3% 0 2.29 11
165 South Dakota Sum 105.8
82
105.3
246
.5139 12-10 9-6 81.6% 68.2% 0 2.17 97
88 Miami FL ACC 108.1
46
100.0
138
.7096 12-12 8-11 62.8% 64.6% 72.3 2.43 209
152 Charlotte CUSA 102.3
168
100.7
151
.5470 12-11 7-9 52.8% 50.3% 38.3 2.42 307
37 UCF Amer 107.7
52
94.5
43
.8174 12-9 11-7 96.2% 96.9% 39.5 2.14 41
128 Marshall CUSA 104.7
113
101.3
165
.5915 12-9 8-6 72.0% 72.7% 5.5 2.19 0
247 Southeast Missouri St. OVC 100.7
222
105.9
259
.3577 12-14 10-10 89.7% 88.1% 8.1 2.58 36
69 Nebraska B10 104.9
100
95.4
56
.7489 12-14 8-12 52.6% 47.8% 43.9 2.21 162
86 TCU B12 106.9
61
98.8
114
.7131 12-13 6-10 26.5% 21.8% 51.7 1.9 436
164 Mercer SC 102.6
161
102.1
181
.5140 12-10 10-7 69.2% 67.3% 18 2.24 72
121 Southern Illinois MVC 102.3
169
98.4
107
.6101 12-11 9-9 98.4% 98.8% 0 1.94 46
99 St. John's BE 104.0
129
97.3
88
.6813 12-14 7-12 39.4% 44.5% 33.4 2.06 206
45 Oklahoma B12 105.1
95
93.4
29
.7940 12-11 8-9 35.5% 28.5% 23.6 2.5 262
96 Kansas St. B12 101.0
211
94.3
40
.6864 12-14 6-12 71.8% 70.1% 55.4 1.89 187
161 Stephen F. Austin WAC 101.9
180
101.0
157
.5266 12-6 11-4 77.8% 75.3% 4.3 2.49 100
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
141 Southern Miss CUSA 101.5
195
99.1
121
.5688 12-10 9-8 78.7% 77.8% 0 2.42 110
139 Weber St. BSky 106.9
63
104.3
224
.5702 13-7 11-5 82.6% 78.5% 12.9 2.56 162
163 Stony Brook AE 101.3
203
100.5
148
.5226 13-8 10-6 80.7% 80.4% 4.3 2.84 322
76 Saint Louis A10 105.0
98
95.8
62
.7412 13-5 6-4 63.2% 58.7% 32.5 2.42 127
43 Richmond A10 109.3
27
96.7
75
.8035 13-6 8-3 86.1% 81.7% 18.4 2.72 78
65 Loyola Marymount WCC 108.3
38
98.3
103
.7543 13-7 7-5 84.6% 84.1% 5.6 2.34 147
168 Prairie View A&M SWAC 100.7
221
100.3
143
.5116 13-5 11-2 72.0% 68.4% 9.5 2.87 252
68 Stanford P12 102.7
160
93.3
27
.7489 13-13 9-11 61.2% 52.5% 74.1 1.44 0
87 Northern Iowa MVC 107.6
54
99.5
130
.7101 13-9 11-7 99.0% 98.7% 14 2.21 0
107 South Dakota St. Sum 108.4
37
102.7
193
.6495 13-7 9-3 99.7% 99.7% 2.4 2.41 0
176 Saint Peter's MAAC 96.2
315
96.1
66
.5042 13-9 11-6 71.4% 69.1% 0 1.89 50
78 North Carolina St. ACC 105.0
96
95.9
63
.7392 13-10 9-9 61.1% 57.5% 80.5 1.81 78
150 Montana BSky 101.9
183
100.1
140
.5493 13-9 12-6 89.6% 85.6% -0 1.78 77
23 Louisville ACC 110.9
16
95.0
49
.8553 13-7 8-6 53.9% 45.4% 60.2 1.99 304
134 Furman SC 101.7
187
98.8
115
.5836 13-8 10-5 72.3% 64.9% 0 2.4 32
91 Missouri St. MVC 105.9
79
98.1
99
.7073 13-7 11-7 87.1% 91.4% 8.4 2.44 109
223 Gardner Webb BSth 101.0
212
104.5
230
.4012 13-12 12-8 60.5% 54.9% 8.4 1.69 53
93 Rhode Island A10 103.9
130
96.6
73
.6998 13-11 10-7 74.1% 70.2% 37.1 2.45 77
71 Iowa B10 108.3
39
98.6
110
.7468 13-14 8-12 53.3% 46.7% 48.9 1.81 37
56 Creighton BE 106.1
75
95.8
61
.7651 13-12 10-10 18.2% 16.3% 71.9 0.87 0
83 Dayton A10 104.7
112
96.3
69
.7220 13-8 10-6 62.9% 53.0% 54.7 1.65 114
126 Miami OH MAC 106.0
78
102.5
189
.5946 13-9 11-7 97.2% 97.8% 1.8 2.57 27
24 Florida SEC 109.2
29
93.6
32
.8548 13-8 10-6 40.2% 42.3% 40.7 2.46 208
55 Arizona St. P12 107.5
55
97.0
82
.7653 13-11 9-9 36.1% 26.0% 65.1 1.87 326
29 Florida St. ACC 107.6
53
92.9
20
.8438 13-7 9-6 41.9% 32.9% 48.5 1.94 155
67 Syracuse ACC 108.2
42
98.3
104
.7514 13-10 8-8 34.4% 36.8% 56.8 2.26 157
49 Providence BE 106.7
65
95.0
50
.7908 13-12 10-9 66.2% 61.8% 52.8 2.54 107
145 North Dakota St. Sum 102.4
165
100.2
141
.5617 13-11 11-5 93.6% 92.9% 1.4 2.33 65
115 Kent St. MAC 104.5
116
99.7
132
.6333 13-9 12-7 79.6% 80.4% 6 2.67 200
155 Louisiana Lafayette SB 104.9
102
103.6
210
.5341 13-9 10-7 61.1% 50.5% 37.1 2.57 349
111 Western Kentucky CUSA 103.4
141
98.4
105
.6394 14-10 9-5 35.7% 31.7% 45.6 2.2 198
18 Connecticut BE 110.6
18
93.7
33
.8699 14-6 11-6 78.6% 74.1% 53.7 2.27 0
16 St. Bonaventure A10 109.9
21
92.8
19
.8742 14-3 12-3 86.5% 86.4% 4.8 2.55 68
42 Oklahoma St. B12 104.8
103
92.7
16
.8053 14-11 9-9 80.5% 74.0% 65.6 1.89 115
59 Wisconsin B10 102.6
162
92.6
15
.7638 14-13 9-11 42.1% 35.9% 69.5 1.26 23
146 Morehead St. OVC 104.4
121
102.3
185
.5568 14-11 12-8 56.3% 57.3% 0 2.15 252
47 Virginia Tech ACC 107.0
60
95.2
54
.7931 14-8 8-7 60.4% 64.4% 24.1 2.13 92
104 UC Irvine BW 101.5
196
95.6
59
.6660 14-8 11-5 79.1% 80.1% 3.3 1.64 25
173 Sam Houston St. WAC 102.5
163
102.2
183
.5076 14-9 12-4 67.9% 53.2% 15.8 2.46 135
36 Saint Mary's WCC 104.6
114
91.8
8
.8178 14-7 6-4 100.0% 100.0% 32.1 2.41 0
30 Notre Dame ACC 113.7
6
98.4
106
.8402 14-10 11-7 79.7% 81.8% 72.3 2.65 147
117 Wyoming MWC 107.2
58
102.8
195
.6187 14-10 9-8 75.4% 66.3% 7.8 1.95 55
48 Colorado St. MWC 109.4
24
97.4
89
.7924 14-7 12-6 93.4% 95.1% 20.8 2.1 84
209 Longwood BSth 99.8
242
102.6
191
.4214 14-11 12-8 62.6% 59.7% 7.4 2.11 148
50 San Francisco WCC 106.5
66
95.3
55
.7806 14-9 7-6 87.6% 87.8% 2.2 2.62 210
160 Winthrop BSth 101.8
186
100.9
155
.5270 14-7 12-6 55.6% 49.1% 11.8 2.5 191
156 Northern Kentucky Horz 103.8
135
102.7
192
.5317 14-9 12-6 85.2% 90.8% 3.9 2.48 68
72 Mississippi SEC 103.1
147
93.9
35
.7449 14-11 9-9 54.3% 49.0% 52.8 2.17 123
167 Campbell BSth 104.2
124
103.7
213
.5125 14-8 12-5 99.2% 99.2% 4.8 2.54 0
32 Seton Hall BE 109.0
30
95.1
52
.8269 14-11 11-8 59.5% 52.4% 70.5 2.57 147
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
125 Cleveland St. Horz 106.9
62
103.3
205
.5958 14-9 14-6 91.9% 94.3% 2.2 2.92 134
147 Texas St. SB 99.3
250
97.5
92
.5515 15-7 10-5 83.6% 78.5% -0 2.4 60
82 Buffalo MAC 105.9
80
97.4
90
.7223 15-5 12-5 74.8% 71.9% 30.3 2.68 55
75 Boise St. MWC 105.8
81
96.5
72
.7432 15-9 13-7 72.9% 67.2% 43.5 2.65 0
64 Nevada MWC 106.3
70
96.4
70
.7551 15-8 11-6 76.4% 81.7% 27.5 2.09 174
153 Abilene Christian WAC 97.6
283
96.0
65
.5457 15-6 11-4 74.2% 61.6% -0 2.39 88
137 Chattanooga SC 103.2
146
100.5
147
.5757 15-8 10-6 87.2% 82.0% 14.2 2.58 69
54 Colorado P12 105.2
92
94.8
46
.7697 15-12 10-10 43.4% 39.2% 55.4 1.61 46
84 UC Santa Barbara BW 108.3
40
99.7
133
.7197 15-6 13-5 78.2% 74.1% 51.5 2.57 77
21 Xavier BE 111.1
15
94.9
47
.8601 15-5 9-4 81.1% 82.7% 56.5 2.21 112
92 UC Riverside BW 105.6
84
97.9
97
.7037 15-5 11-3 75.7% 68.0% 17 2.44 132
34 West Virginia B12 110.0
19
96.1
67
.8242 15-11 9-8 48.7% 42.3% 29 2.2 97
17 Kentucky SEC 112.2
12
94.9
48
.8729 15-9 10-7 44.9% 40.8% 72.4 1.91 283
39 BYU WCC 108.4
36
95.4
57
.8129 15-8 8-5 61.9% 58.2% 37.3 2.37 96
41 LSU SEC 112.0
13
98.9
118
.8058 15-9 9-8 33.4% 22.6% 82 1.43 181
51 VCU A10 103.2
145
92.5
13
.7794 15-8 9-5 65.7% 59.1% 31 2.33 83
13 Villanova BE 114.1
4
95.5
58
.8849 15-6 11-4 75.1% 72.2% 83.5 2.03 0
31 Indiana B10 108.7
31
94.1
38
.8398 15-12 11-9 64.7% 65.1% 74.2 2.15 191
38 Oregon P12 109.9
20
96.6
74
.8152 15-9 11-7 39.3% 27.1% 68.3 2.08 273
166 UNC Greensboro SC 100.2
232
99.8
134
.5125 16-10 10-8 51.2% 44.3% 24.1 2.53 146
58 Ohio MAC 108.1
45
97.6
93
.7639 16-5 12-4 80.9% 77.3% 6.7 2.22 56
136 Toledo MAC 103.9
131
101.2
161
.5768 16-11 12-7 59.2% 54.6% 2.4 1.94 55
100 Jacksonville St. ASun 105.5
88
98.7
113
.6811 16-7 14-5 99.7% 99.7% 10.9 2.79 98
27 Maryland B10 108.5
33
93.4
28
.8486 16-10 11-9 45.5% 45.1% 64.4 1.92 181
40 San Diego St. MWC 105.4
89
92.8
18
.8124 16-7 12-5 61.0% 57.0% 30.7 2.72 145
25 Michigan St. B10 108.5
35
93.3
26
.8505 16-10 11-9 47.7% 42.8% 73.7 1.79 107
9 Baylor B12 113.6
7
93.8
34
.9004 16-6 9-5 41.2% 35.9% 55.7 1.66 138
63 Mississippi St. SEC 106.2
73
96.2
68
.7574 16-11 9-9 49.5% 48.6% 60.2 1.81 245
144 Eastern Kentucky ASun 104.7
107
102.5
188
.5621 16-9 13-7 66.5% 50.1% 12.7 2.46 225
22 North Carolina ACC 109.8
22
94.0
36
.8562 16-9 9-7 65.2% 63.1% 89 1.53 141
61 Washington St. P12 105.2
93
95.1
51
.7621 16-11 10-10 61.4% 58.2% 28.8 1.7 68
106 Louisiana Tech CUSA 101.0
210
95.6
60
.6532 16-9 9-7 64.9% 66.3% 8.3 1.9 70
8 Duke ACC 113.7
5
93.6
31
.9036 16-6 13-5 40.1% 39.7% 92.3 0.96 61
113 Wright St. Horz 101.6
190
96.8
77
.6372 16-7 15-5 73.2% 67.1% 8.1 1.82 40
60 Liberty ASun 107.5
57
97.1
84
.7628 17-4 11-2 85.9% 81.9% 4.8 2.17 0
46 Utah St. MWC 104.7
111
93.1
23
.7938 17-7 13-6 44.6% 39.9% 25.3 2.15 153
35 Loyola Chicago MVC 106.1
76
92.9
21
.8206 17-6 13-5 79.2% 71.4% 5.1 2.75 152
33 Arizona P12 108.2
43
94.6
44
.8249 17-9 12-8 52.1% 45.7% 69.3 1.24 141
11 Memphis Amer 108.1
44
90.2
1
.8894 17-5 12-3 57.7% 56.3% 78.7 1.99 149
10 Ohio St. B10 114.3
3
95.2
53
.8913 17-9 13-7 63.3% 60.8% 63.3 2.56 146
20 Auburn SEC 109.4
25
93.2
25
.8628 17-10 11-7 59.8% 55.4% 67.4 1.36 231
66 Drake MVC 109.2
28
99.1
122
.7538 18-7 12-6 88.5% 83.5% 1.7 2.86 85
19 Texas Tech B12 107.9
48
91.7
6
.8664 18-8 10-7 43.6% 42.6% 27.7 2.41 276
15 Tennessee SEC 109.5
23
91.8
7
.8833 18-6 12-5 56.3% 51.8% 80.2 1.53 66
77 Murray St. OVC 107.5
56
98.2
101
.7401 18-5 16-4 72.8% 72.0% 17.2 2.61 218
26 USC P12 108.3
41
93.2
24
.8490 18-9 12-8 63.2% 60.0% 54.9 2.26 51
6 Michigan B10 111.5
14
91.2
2
.9100 18-7 13-7 39.9% 41.9% 74.2 1.53 46
4 Illinois B10 113.4
9
92.3
11
.9140 18-8 14-6 63.4% 59.4% 63.9 2.12 92
14 Houston Amer 109.4
26
91.6
5
.8842 18-5 13-4 46.3% 42.8% 53.2 2.08 134
28 Arkansas SEC 107.8
51
92.8
17
.8485 18-8 10-7 38.5% 38.4% 39.1 2.48 354
3 Texas B12 113.5
8
91.5
4
.9228 18-6 13-4 44.2% 41.3% 81.6 2.58 479
5 Kansas B12 113.2
10
92.3
10
.9130 18-8 12-6 71.0% 72.0% 74.3 2.36 221
57 UAB CUSA 107.8
49
97.3
87
.7650 19-6 13-5 61.3% 62.5% 26.7 2.96 340
7 Purdue B10 112.4
11
92.1
9
.9072 19-8 13-7 91.3% 93.5% 61.3 1.84 0
12 Alabama SEC 110.7
17
92.4
12
.8892 19-8 12-6 46.3% 47.9% 71.4 1.43 112
2 UCLA P12 116.7
2
92.6
14
.9350 20-5 15-4 92.9% 91.4% 84.7 2.05 55
74 Belmont OVC 107.8
50
98.2
102
.7441 21-5 16-4 96.6% 97.5% 5 2.44 0
1 Gonzaga WCC 120.6
1
91.3
3
.9606 22-2 14-1 46.0% 44.8% 89.4 1.39 70

Compiled by Bart Torvik from sacred data and secret formulas.